Samaresh Kumar Singh | Search arXiv

arXiv2026

Real-Time Driver Safety Scoring Through Inverse Crash Probability Modeling

Road crashes remain a leading cause of preventable fatalities. Existing prediction models predominantly produce binary outcomes, which offer limited actionable insights for realtime driver feedback. These approaches often lack continuous risk quantification, interpretability, and explicit consideration of vulnerable road users (VRUs), such as pedestrians and cyclists. This research introduces SafeDriver-IQ, a framework that transforms binary crash classifiers into continuous 0-100 safety scores by combining national crash statistics with naturalistic driving data from autonomous vehicles. The framework fuses National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) crash records with Waymo Open Motion Dataset scenarios, engineers domain-informed features, and incorporates a calibration layer grounded in transportation safety literature. Evaluation across 15 complementary analyses indicates that the framework reliably differentiates high-risk from low-risk driving conditions with strong discriminative performance. Findings further reveal that 87% of crashes involve multiple co-occurring risk factors, with non-linear compounding effects that increase the risk to 4.5x baseline. SafeDriver-IQ delivers proactive, explainable safety intelligence relevant to advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), fleet management, and urban infrastructure planning. Beyond the specific application, the inverse modeling paradigm is domain-agnostic. Any binary risk classifier can be converted into a continuous, explainable safety-scoring system using the same pipeline without retraining. This framework shifts the focus from reactive crash counting to real-time risk prevention.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

PRISM: An Agentic Multi-Model Architecture for Proactive Safety in Autonomous Transportation Systems

Autonomous and intelligent transportation systems operate in complex urban environments where safety depends on interactions among vehicle behavior, environmental conditions, and vulnerable road users (VRUs) such as pedestrians and cyclists. Most advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) employ reactive mechanisms that activate only after hazards have emerged, a critical limitation underscored by rising VRU fatalities in the United States. This study introduces PRISM (Proactive Risk Intelligence and Safety Management), an agentic multi-model safety architecture that transitions from reactive crash avoidance to proactive, continuous risk management. PRISM employs inverse crash-probability modeling to convert binary crash classifiers into dynamic, interpretable safety scores. Three specialized models addressing trajectory kinematics, environmental risk, and VRU interaction operate concurrently, coordinated by a reasoning layer incorporating reinforcement learning, contextual memory, and feature-level attribution. The system provides graduated safety interventions across four tiers, from silent monitoring to emergency alerts. Unlike rule-based systems with static thresholds, PRISM dynamically adjusts safety parameters in real time. Validated across 1,296 scenarios from three naturalistic driving datasets without dataset-specific retraining, the system yielded a mean safety score of 68 out of 100, classified 77.6% of scenarios as advisory, and flagged a near-miss rate of 3.8%, with 11% of scenarios escalating to intervention or emergency response. Feature attribution consistently identified trajectory risk and VRU proximity as primary safety factors. PRISM provides a unified, interpretable framework for proactive transportation safety with emphasis on VRU risk reduction in dense urban environments.

cs.MA↗