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Santiago Jiménez Londoño

Publications and source records attributed to Santiago Jiménez Londoño.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

The Delegation Divide: An Open Index of AI-Agent Delegability across Occupations and Countries

35.2% of task time in world employment is at least partly delegable to AI agents in 2026, and only 2.5% can be handed over in full. Existing measures score exposure to generative AI, mostly for the United States. We build the Agent Delegability Index (ADI): two language models rate all 18,796 O*NET 30.2 task statements on a frozen, preregistered rubric of delegation levels and barriers; tasks are mapped to 433 ISCO-08 unit groups and weighted by ILOSTAT employment in 146 countries. Four findings. First, delegable employment rises with income, from 22.5% in low-income to 48.7% in high-income countries, a slope of 7.23 percentage points per log point of GDP per capita. This delegation divide is compositional: the physical barrier dominates the jobs poorer countries employ most. Second, at the occupation level ADI tracks exposure closely (r = 0.93 with Eloundou et al. and 0.89 with Felten et al.), above the preregistered bound of 0.80; ADI adds delegation levels and barriers on top of exposure, for the world, not a new ranking of occupations. Third, full delegation is rare and peaks for tasks that take a human about twelve minutes (11.8 minutes). Fourth, the preregistered adoption gap is not supported: across 101 countries, delegability and observed AI usage correlate at r = 0.86, and the gap between them is not wider in middle-income countries (p = 0.27). Model agreement is kappa = 0.77; a blind human rating of 300 tasks agrees with the model consensus at kappa = 0.85, and an agentic panel with web search at kappa = 0.87. We release the index, the atlas, the prompts and an MCP server at https://github.com/Cespial/delegation-divide.

econ.GN↗

Discretion at the Margin: Threshold Manipulation and Electoral Bans in Colombian Public Procurement

Public procurement laws trade rules against discretion with value thresholds: below them, buyers use faster and less competitive procedures. Colombia offers an unusually clean setting to measure how much buyers manipulate estimated values to stay below the line and what it costs. Thresholds are entity-specific (five budget bands set by law) and move every January with the minimum wage, while the round numbers that usually confound bunching estimates stay fixed. Using the universe of Colombian procurement records (SECOP I and II, 2011-2026; 8,569,218 SECOP II processes) and each entity-year's own threshold, we find sharp bunching of estimated values just below both legal cutoffs: 49,631 excess processes below the small-purchase threshold (86% of the mass observed in the last five percent below it) and 3,157 below the tender threshold. The spike tracks the threshold, not the round numbers: it moves with the minimum wage, appears only at each entity's own band, and is an order of magnitude smaller for procedures that carry no value cap. Territorial governments, run by elected mayors and governors, bunch more than appointed national agencies at the small-purchase threshold, even after reweighting for budget band, object and year. Processes bunched below the tender threshold attract half as many bidders as those just above it, obtain smaller discounts, and are more often enlarged after award. A second source of variation, the four-month ban on direct contracting before presidential elections, shows that buyers respond to rules on the timing margin: direct contracting falls by 95% during the ban and rises by 209% in the two weeks before it, in each of four electoral cycles, with a partial shift toward below-threshold procedures. Chile's fixed UTM thresholds display the same pattern, and a cutoff abolished in 2024 shows no bunching afterwards.

econ.GN↗

Determinants of Workplace Flextime Flexibility: An Empirical Analysis

This study examines the factors that determine workplace autonomy in the choice of schedules, using GEIH data for formal employees from January 2023 to February 2024. A logistic regression model identified significant relationships between autonomy and variables such as company size, income, tenure, workplace, and job satisfaction. The results highlight the complexity of these factors and suggest the need for improvements in the predictive model.

econ.GN↗