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Steven Dillmann

Publications and source records attributed to Steven Dillmann.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

FrontierPhysics: Evaluating Agents for End-to-End Physics Research

AI agents are playing an increasingly important role in physics research. However, existing physics benchmarks only evaluate fixed questions, isolated sub-tasks, or paper reproduction with given solutions, and rarely check research quality alongside correctness. We introduce FrontierPhysics, an end-to-end benchmark with 56 tasks made by 42 physicists based on their own research, covering nine domains across theoretical, computational, and experimental physics. Each task requires agents to review the literature, develop a research plan, conduct research and experiments, and produce structured outputs and scientific manuscripts. Combining deterministic verifiers with expert-authored rubrics, FrontierPhysics evaluates whether agents' research is correct and publishable. Across 22 models in 26 configurations, no configuration passes more than 46 of its 168 rollouts. Manual review of agent trajectories shows that frontier agents' main weaknesses are insufficiently rigorous reasoning and limited expert intuition, rather than gaps in physics knowledge or execution errors.

cs.AI↗

AgentPersonaBench: Benchmarking Persona-Driven User Simulation

We introduce AgentPersonaBench (APB), a benchmark evaluating whether persona conditioning faithfully steers downstream agent behavior. While language models are increasingly deployed for persona-driven user simulation, existing benchmarks primarily evaluate conversational styling or self-reports rather than authentic behavioral fidelity. APB evaluates latent persona adherence one trait at a time, embedding each target trait within a complete synthetic profile without explicitly naming the trait or disclosing the test. Ground-truth adherence is verified strictly from observable actions across four interaction surfaces of increasing realism: survey, chat, web (interactive web environments), and app (desktop software environments). APB comprises 2,460 tasks spanning 867 traits, verified through automated audits and expert review. Our evaluation of 20 frontier model arms demonstrates that high-fidelity user simulation is already attainable: leading models achieve up to 84.7% full-pass adherence under unprompted conditions. At the same time, APB identifies clear behavioral boundaries: adherence drops across interaction modalities (only 37.9-64.3% pass all four surfaces), multi-attribute demands degrade retention, and competing model families exhibit pronounced behavioral divergence.

cs.AI↗

OSWorld-Science: A Benchmark of Computer Use Agents for Learning and Using Scientific Software

Scientific software presents a demanding test for computer-using agents based on visual language models (VLMs): completing a research workflow requires interpreting specialized interfaces, manipulating scientific objects, and producing verifiable results. We thus introduce OSWorld-Science, a benchmark and evaluation environment that combines scientifically meaningful tasks, artifact-based evaluation, and an efficient agent harness for studying computer use in the scientific domain. The benchmark contains 12 VLMs and 146 high-quality tasks across several scientific domains and software configurations, covering workflows such as molecular drawing and retrosynthesis, pathology image analysis, statistical computing, and physical simulation. Tasks are developed through expert proposals and iterative human--AI co-design, with selection guided by scientific value and difficulty. Task-specific execution-based evaluators inspect application states and generated artifacts, including molecular structures, segmentation masks, plots, and numerical results, and award partial credit for incomplete outcomes. Our special harness integrates model adapters, interaction-loop control, and trajectory logging to support comparisons of models and interaction strategies. Our results show that current state-of-the-art VLMs with a strong harness still face challenges in addressing key questions in the scientific domains. We also analyze the benchmarking results across multi-linguistics, reasoning efforts, context length and other factors and derive several important conclusions and directions to assist future development. Overall, we provide an integrated framework connecting expert-defined scientific goals to verifiable software outcomes, enabling systematic evaluation of both agent capabilities and harness design in scientific workflows.

cs.AI↗

The Platonic Universe: Do Foundation Models See the Same Sky?

We investigate when foundation models converge towards shared representations, and how this convergence depends on model capacity, training regime, and model architecture. We take a `science-for-AI' approach, using astronomy as an experimental instrument to test the Platonic Representation Hypothesis and its Aristotelian refinement against an external physical reference. The historical success of astrophysics is evidence that a compact, modality-invariant description of galaxy observables exists, and so representation convergence toward reality should be measurable against the physical parameters astronomers already use. Given this framework, we evaluate eleven foundation model families (spanning classification, self-distillation, joint-embedding prediction, autoencoding, vision-language pre-training, and astro-specific architectures from $\mathcal{O}$(10M)${\to}\mathcal{O}$(10B) parameters) on crossmatched JWST, HSC, and Legacy imagery, and DESI spectroscopy. All models are evaluated frozen, with no astronomy-specific fine-tuning. We probe redshift, stellar mass, and sSFR via linear probes, and local (MKNN) and global (CKA) embedding geometry within families, between modalities, and across architectures. We find that physics performance scales predictably with capacity; probe directions align consistently with expected astrophysical correlations and selection effects; and local (not global) embedding alignment tracks physics performance, including between DESI spectra and HSC imagery---modalities that share essentially no low-level statistics. Our results support the ARH over the strict PRH, demonstrate astronomy's value as an experimental framework for neural representation learning, and suggest that astro-foundation models can build on general-purpose pre-trained architectures, capitalizing on the broader open machine learning community's already-spent computational investment.

astro-ph.IM↗

Lens Model Accuracy in the Expected LSST Lensed AGN Sample

Strong gravitational lensing of active galactic nuclei (AGN) enables measurements of cosmological parameters through time-delay cosmography (TDC). With data from the upcoming LSST survey, we anticipate using a sample of O(1000) lensed AGN for TDC. To prepare for this dataset and enable this measurement, we construct and analyze a realistic mock sample of 1300 systems drawn from the OM10 (Oguri & Marshall 2010) catalog of simulated lenses with AGN sources at $z<3.1$ in order to test a key aspect of the analysis pipeline, that of the lens modeling. We realize the lenses as power law elliptical mass distributions and simulate 5-year LSST i-band coadd images. From every image, we infer the lens mass model parameters using neural posterior estimation (NPE). Focusing on the key model parameters, $θ_E$ (the Einstein Radius) and $γ_{lens}$ (the projected mass density profile slope), with consistent mass-light ellipticity correlations in test and training data, we recover $θ_E$ with less than 1% bias per lens, 6.5% precision per lens and $γ_{lens}$ with less than 3% bias per lens, 8% precision per lens. We find that lens light subtraction prior to modeling is only useful when applied to data sampled from the training prior. If emulated deconvolution is applied to the data prior to modeling, precision improves across all parameters by a factor of 2. Finally, we combine the inferred lens mass models using Bayesian Hierarchical Inference to recover the global properties of the lens sample with less than 1% bias.

astro-ph.CO↗

Lens Modeling and Cosmological Inference from an Impure Sample of Galaxy-Galaxy Strong Lenses

The start of the Legacy Survey of Space and Time marks a new era for strong lensing science, where the number of strong lenses identified is expected to increase to $\mathcal{O}(10^5)$. In this paper we use a neural network to determine the precision with which lens parameters can be determined, using realistic simulated LSST lensed systems. We find that the Einstein radius can be measured with a mean precision of $3.7\%$ with calibrated uncertainties accurately reflecting the corresponding measurement error. Based on the performance of current strong lens classifiers, the $\sim 100,000$ detectable strong lenses are expected to be accompanied by a similar or larger number of false positives (non-lenses). In readiness for this we introduce a formalism, termed `COSMIC-BEAMS', to infer cosmological parameters while accounting for contamination by false positives. As a proof-of-concept, using simulated LSST measurements of the Einstein radii of a realistic and impure sample of photometric lens systems, i.e. those without spectroscopic confirmation, we find that the cosmological parameters $Ω_m$, $Ω_Λ$, and $w$ can be measured to a precision of $0.1$, $0.03$ and $0.15$ respectively for a $w$CDM cosmology. We demonstrate that unbiased cosmological parameters can be inferred even in strong lens samples contaminated by $50\%$ false positives, and that the photometric dataset of $100\,000$ strong lenses will provide equivalent $w$-precision to $2500-3500$ spectroscopic systems.

astro-ph.CO↗

Harbor Adapters and Harbor-Index: Infrastructure and a Curated Meta-Dataset for Large-Scale Agentic Evaluation

Evaluating agents on the growing number of agentic benchmarks is challenging because they often require complex environments and agent integrations. We introduce Harbor Adapters, a unified evaluation infrastructure for agentic benchmarks. Our work makes three contributions. First, we develop benchmark adapters that port more than 80 benchmarks to evaluate arbitrary agents, and validate them through rigorous code review and parity experiments. Second, we conduct a large-scale evaluation of 8 models spanning capability tiers across 54 benchmarks; every model is run with Terminus-2 and with one of 3 native harnesses. This enables a broader analysis of agent capabilities and failure modes than was previously possible. Third, we introduce Harbor-Index, a curated set of 82 difficult, diverse, and high-quality tasks spanning 29 benchmarks, refined from the adapted suite through difficulty filtering, AI and human audit, and an audit-and-fix loop. Harbor-Index preserves the challenge and breadth of large-scale agentic evaluations while being affordable to run; no evaluated model-harness configuration exceeds 30% pass rate, and the strongest (GPT-5.5 with Codex) reaches 28.0%. We release the adapters, evaluation results, in-depth analysis, and Harbor-Index as open-source artifacts to support more reliable and comprehensive evaluation of language-model agents.

cs.AI↗

Bringing analytic rigor to agentic AI for science: The Brain Researcher platform for neuroimaging data analysis

AI agents can execute scientific analyses, but an analytic output becomes a defensible claim only after alternatives are weighed and the claim is limited to what the evidence supports. Agents may reproduce failures including selective analysis, premature declarations of success and optimization of imperfect criteria. We present Brain Researcher, an agentic research harness operating in a neuroimaging researcher's computational environment under rules for admissible analyses, required checks and claim scope. In benchmarks, Brain Researcher increased first-choice tool-selection accuracy across seven models by 70.2 percentage points (23.3% without it versus 93.6% with it) and verifiable grounding from 4.6% to 22.0%. In collaborator-led and self-evolving studies, multiverse analyses exposed analytic-choice sensitivity, and scientific review classified claims as accepted, qualified, revised, blocked, rejected or deferred. By linking decisions to evidence and provenance, Brain Researcher embeds methodological judgment within the workflow, not after it.

cs.AI↗

Investigating the Dark Energy Constraint from Strongly Lensed AGN at LSST-Scale

Strongly lensed Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) with an observable time delay can be used to constrain the expansion history of the Universe through time-delay cosmography (TDC). As the sample of time-delay lenses grows to statistical size, with $\mathcal{O}$(1000) lensed AGN forecast to be observed by the Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), there is an emerging opportunity to use TDC as an independent probe of dark energy. To take advantage of this statistical sample, we implement a scalable hierarchical inference tool which computes the cosmological likelihood for hundreds of strong lenses simultaneously. With this new technique, we investigate the cosmological constraining power from a simulation of the full LSST sample. We start from individual lenses, and emulate the full joint hierarchical TDC analysis, including image-based modeling, time-delay measurement, velocity dispersion measurement, and external convergence prediction. We fully account for the mass-sheet and mass-anisotropy degeneracies. We assume a sample of 800 lenses, with varying levels of follow-up fidelity based on existing campaigns. With our baseline assumptions, within a flexible $w_0w_a$CDM cosmology, we simultaneously forecast a $\sim$2.5% constraint on H0 and a dark energy figure of merit (DE FOM) of 6.7. We show that by expanding the sample from 50 lenses with IFU kinematics to include 750 lenses with plausible LSST time-delay measurements, we improve the forecasted DE FOM by nearly a factor of 3, demonstrating the value of incorporating this portion of the sample. We also investigate different follow-up campaign strategies, and find significant improvements in the DE FOM with additional stellar kinematics measurements and higher-precision time-delay measurements. We also demonstrate how the redshift configuration of time-delay lenses impacts constraining power in $w_0w_a$CDM.

astro-ph.CO↗

OpenThoughts-Agent: Data Recipes for Agentic Models

Agentic language models dramatically expand the applications of AI yet little is publicly known about how to curate training data for broadly capable agents. Existing open efforts such as SWE-Smith, SERA, and Nemotron-Terminal typically target a single benchmark, leaving open the question of how to train models that generalize across diverse agentic tasks. The OpenThoughts-Agent (OT-Agent) project addresses this gap with a fully open data curation pipeline for training agentic models. We conduct more than 100 controlled ablation experiments to systematically investigate each stage of the pipeline, yielding insights on the importance of task sources and diversity. We then assemble a training set of 100K examples from our pipeline and fine-tune Qwen3-32B on this dataset, which yields an average accuracy of 44.8% across seven agentic benchmarks and a 3.9 percentage point improvement over the strongest existing open data agentic model (Nemotron-Terminal-32B, 40.9%). Moreover, our training data exhibits strong scaling properties, outperforming alternative open datasets at every training set size in compute-controlled comparisons. We publicly release our training sets, data pipeline, experimental data, and models at openthoughts.ai to support future open research on agentic model training.

cs.AI↗

SkillsBench: Benchmarking How Well Agent Skills Work Across Diverse Tasks

Agent Skills are structured packages of procedural knowledge that augment large language model (LLM) agents at inference time. Despite rapid adoption, there is no standard way to measure whether they actually help. We present SkillsBench, a benchmark whose current inventory contains 87 tasks across 8 domains paired with curated Skills and deterministic verifiers. Our latest aggregate evaluation runs the 87-task benchmark under matched no-Skills and curated-Skills conditions for 18 model-harness configurations. Curated Skills raise the average pass rate from 33.9% to 50.5% (+16.6 percentage points; 25.5% normalized gain), with configuration-level gains ranging from +4.1 to +25.7 pp. Focused Skills with at most three modules outperform larger or exhaustive bundles, and smaller models with Skills can match larger models without them. SkillsBench establishes paired evaluation as the foundation for rigorous measurement of Skill efficacy on agentic, expertise-heavy work.

cs.AI↗

Every Eval Ever: A Unifying Schema and Community Repository for AI Evaluation Results

AI evaluations are widely used for testing and understanding progress. However, the diverse evaluators bring with them inconsistencies that challenge analysis and comparison. First, results are saved in incompatible formats, scattered across leaderboards, papers, blog posts, evaluation harness logs, and custom repositories. Second, results are created by different evaluation frameworks, which produce divergent scores for nominally identical evaluations and record metadata inconsistently, hindering comparison, cross-community evaluation science, cost reduction, and reuse. We introduce Every Eval Ever, the first shared schema and community-crowdsourced repository for AI evaluation results. The schema standardizes how evaluations are represented in a unified, single JSON document. It is source-agnostic by design, ingesting results from evaluation harnesses and papers alike, and optionally stores per-instance outputs for fine-grained analysis. We contribute: (i) a community-governed metadata schema with a companion instance-level schema, the first standardization effort of its kind; (ii) automatic converters from popular formats, evaluation harnesses, and leaderboards to the unified schema; and (iii) a crowdsourced community database hosted on Hugging Face, currently spanning to date 22,235 models, 2,273 unique benchmarks, and 31 evaluation formats.

cs.AI↗

SWE-Marathon: Can Agents Autonomously Complete Ultra-Long-Horizon Software Work?

AI agents are increasingly expected to complete long-horizon workflows that require sustained progress over hours, millions of tokens, and complex environments. Yet current agent benchmarks largely evaluate short-form tasks, such as single pull requests, small tickets, or 5-10 minute exercises, limiting our ability to measure agents' capabilities in planning, long-context understanding, and memory use. We introduce SWE-Marathon, a benchmark of 20 long-horizon tasks spanning software engineering and adjacent technical domains. Each task consists of a unique executable environment, a human-written reference solution, and a multi-layer verification suite. Logged agent attempts average 27.2M total tokens, making SWE-Marathon substantially longer-horizon than existing SWE and command-line agent benchmarks. Current frontier coding agents solve fewer than 30% of tasks. Failures often arise from poor self-verification, self-reported infeasibility, and premature termination. We also observe reward-hacking behavior in 13.8% of rollouts, where agents attempt to exploit the environment or verifier to bypass the intended workflow. SWE-Marathon includes adversarial review of test suites and execution environments, as well as multi-layer checks designed to prevent shortcut solutions. We release SWE-Marathon, evaluation code, and agent trajectories at https://swe-marathon.org/.

cs.SE↗

SLSim: a strong lensing population simulation package

Gravitational lensing offers unique insights into cosmology by bending light around massive objects. Strong gravitational lensing, in particular, produces magnified and often multiple images of distant sources, crucial for precise cosmological measurements and understanding the distribution of dark matter in the universe. Current studies are limited by the number of strong gravitational lenses. From upcoming cosmological surveys, we anticipate observing a several orders of magnitude increase in the number of lenses, for both static and transient phenomena. However, detecting and analyzing these events from vast surveys like Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) presents significant challenges. To prepare for these challenges, we introduce SLSim, a versatile simulation tool tailored for the Vera C. Rubin Observatory. SLSim integrates advanced astrophysical models with computational efficiency to generate synthetic strong lens populations under realistic observational conditions. SLSim simulates static and variable lensing scenarios, essential for cosmological studies, training and testing lens search and data analysis pipelines. This paper details SLSim,'s design and implementation, emphasizing its modularity and capabilities across various astrophysical regimes. Validation against observational data and existing simulations confirms SLSim's accuracy in reproducing observed lensing phenomena. SLSim is publicly available at https://github.com/LSST-strong-lensing/slsim, and we anticipate continued development and expansion of its capabilities. Users are encouraged to check the repository for updates and to contribute to ongoing community efforts in strong lensing simulations.

astro-ph.CO↗

COMPOSITE-Stem

AI agents hold growing promise for accelerating scientific discovery; yet, a lack of frontier evaluations hinders adoption into real workflows. Expert-written benchmarks have proven effective at measuring AI reasoning, but most at this stage have become saturated and only measure performance on constrained outputs. To help address this gap, we introduce COMPOSITE-STEM, a benchmark of 70 expert-written tasks in physics, biology, chemistry, and mathematics, curated by doctoral-level researchers. Our benchmark combines exact-match grading and criterion-based rubrics with an LLM-as-a-jury grading protocol, allowing more flexible assessment of scientifically meaningful outputs. Using an adapted multimodal Terminus-2 agent harness within the Harbor agentic evaluation framework, we evaluate four frontier models. The top-performing model achieves 21%, demonstrating that COMPOSITE-STEM captures capabilities beyond current agent reach. All tasks are open-sourced with contributor permission to support reproducibility and to promote additional research towards AI's acceleration of scientific progress in these domains.

cs.AI↗

AsymmetryZero: A Framework for Operationalizing Human Expert Preferences as Semantic Evals

Much of the focus in RL today is on evaluation design: building meaningful evals that serve simultaneously as benchmarks and as well-defined reward signals for post-training. Yet, many real-world tasks are governed by subjective, procedural, and domain-specific requirements that are difficult to encode as exact-match targets or open-ended preference judgments frequently used in RL pipelines today. In this work, we present AsymmetryZero, a framework for operationalizing human expert preferences as semantic evals. AsymmetryZero represents each task as a stable evaluation contract that makes grading criteria explicit: what is being graded, how each criterion is judged, and how criterion-level decisions are aggregated into a task outcome. The same contract can be executed using Inspect for model-only evaluations, as well as the Harbor Framework for agentic evaluations, enabling comparable scores and shared audit artifacts across both settings. We argue that the central challenge in post-training today is the faithful encoding of expert requirements into the evaluation itself. To that end, we present a study using Harbor that holds task contracts fixed and compares a five-model frontier jury against a five-model compact jury across four frontier-class solvers (Claude Opus 4.6, GPT-5.4, Grok-4.20, Gemini-3.1-Pro). We find that criterion-level frontier-vs-compact agreement ranges from $75.9\%$ to $89.6\%$ (strict common-subset agreement: $77.8\%$ to $92.1\%$), while compact juries exhibit substantially higher internal dissent (3--2 split rate $28.7\%$--$32.4\%$) than frontier juries ($6.1\%$--$11.5\%$). Verifier traces further show that compact juries reduce per-criterion judging cost to roughly $4.2\%$--$5.6\%$ of frontier and latency to roughly $21.7\%$--$27.1\%$, even as aggregated task-level outcomes often remain comparatively stable.

cs.LG↗

Opportunities in AI/ML for the Rubin LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will produce unprecedented volumes of heterogeneous astronomical data (images, catalogs, and alerts) that challenge traditional analysis pipelines. The LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC) aims to derive robust constraints on dark energy and dark matter from these data, requiring methods that are statistically powerful, scalable, and operationally reliable. Artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) are already embedded across DESC science workflows, from photometric redshifts and transient classification to weak lensing inference and cosmological simulations. Yet their utility for precision cosmology hinges on trustworthy uncertainty quantification, robustness to covariate shift and model misspecification, and reproducible integration within scientific pipelines. This white paper surveys the current landscape of AI/ML across DESC's primary cosmological probes and cross-cutting analyses, revealing that the same core methodologies and fundamental challenges recur across disparate science cases. Since progress on these cross-cutting challenges would benefit multiple probes simultaneously, we identify key methodological research priorities, including Bayesian inference at scale, physics-informed methods, validation frameworks, and active learning for discovery. With an eye on emerging techniques, we also explore the potential of the latest foundation model methodologies and LLM-driven agentic AI systems to reshape DESC workflows, provided their deployment is coupled with rigorous evaluation and governance. Finally, we discuss critical software, computing, data infrastructure, and human capital requirements for the successful deployment of these new methodologies, and consider associated risks and opportunities for broader coordination with external actors.

astro-ph.IM↗

Terminal-Bench: Benchmarking Agents on Hard, Realistic Tasks in Command Line Interfaces

AI agents may soon become capable of autonomously completing valuable, long-horizon tasks in diverse domains. Current benchmarks either do not measure real-world tasks, or are not sufficiently difficult to meaningfully measure frontier models. To this end, we present Terminal-Bench 2.0: a carefully curated hard benchmark composed of 89 tasks in computer terminal environments inspired by problems from real workflows. Each task features a unique environment, human-written solution, and comprehensive tests for verification. We show that frontier models and agents score less than 65\% on the benchmark and conduct an error analysis to identify areas for model and agent improvement. We publish the dataset and evaluation harness to assist developers and researchers in future work at https://www.tbench.ai/ .

cs.SE↗