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Xin Bing

Publications and source records attributed to Xin Bing.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Adaptive Kernel Ridge Regression with Linear Structure: Sharp Oracle Inequalities and Minimax Optimality

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a widely used nonparametric method due to its strong theoretical guarantees and computational convenience. However, standard KRR does not distinguish between linear and nonlinear components in the signal, instead applying a single functional regularization to the entire function. This may lead to unnecessary shrinkage of linear structure and consequently suboptimal prediction performance. In this paper, we propose a modified regression procedure that augments KRR with an explicit linear component. The proposed method has the same computational complexity as standard KRR and introduces no additional tuning parameters. Theoretically, we establish a sharp oracle inequality for the proposed estimator and show that it adaptively captures both linear and nonlinear structure, achieving minimax optimal prediction risk under general kernels. Compared with standard KRR, the proposed method improves both the bias and approximation error at the expense of only an additional parametric variance term, which is negligible in low- and moderate-dimensional settings. In high-dimensional regimes, incorporating ridge regularization for the linear component yields a procedure that performs uniformly no worse than KRR. Extensive simulation studies support the theoretical findings.

math.ST

Convergence and Optimality of the EM Algorithm Under Multi-Component Gaussian Mixture Models

Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) are fundamental statistical tools for modeling heterogeneous data. Due to the nonconcavity of the likelihood function, the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is widely used for parameter estimation of each Gaussian component. Existing analyses of the EM algorithm's convergence to the true parameter focus on either the two-component case or multi-component settings with known mixing probabilities and isotropic covariance matrices. In this work, we study the convergence of the EM algorithm for multi-component GMMs in full generality. The population-level EM is shown to converge to the true parameter when the smallest separation among all pairs of Gaussian components exceeds a logarithmic factor of the largest separation and the reciprocal of the minimal mixing probabilities. At the sample level, the EM algorithm is shown to be minimax rate-optimal, up to a logarithmic factor. We develop two distinct novel analytical approaches, each tailored to a different regime of separation, reflecting two complementary perspectives on the use of EM. As a byproduct of our analysis, we show that the EM algorithm, when used for community detection, also achieves the minimax optimal rate of misclustering error under milder separation conditions than spectral clustering and Lloyd's algorithm, an interesting result in its own right. Our analysis allows the number of components, the minimal mixing probabilities, the separation between Gaussian components and the dimension to grow with the sample size. Simulation studies corroborate our theoretical findings.

math.ST

Kernel Ridge Regression with Predicted Feature Inputs and Applications to Factor-Based Nonparametric Regression

Kernel methods, particularly kernel ridge regression (KRR), are time-proven, powerful nonparametric regression techniques known for their rich capacity, analytical simplicity, and computational tractability. The analysis of their predictive performance has received continuous attention for more than two decades. However, in many modern regression problems where the feature inputs used in KRR cannot be directly observed and must instead be inferred from other measurements, the theoretical foundations of KRR remain largely unexplored. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach for analyzing KRR with predicted feature inputs. Our framework is not only essential for handling predicted feature inputs -- enabling us to derive risk bounds without imposing any assumptions on the error of the predicted feature -- but also strengthens existing analyses in the classical setting by allowing arbitrary model misspecification, requiring weaker conditions under the squared loss, particularly allowing both an unbounded response and an unbounded function class, and being flexible enough to accommodate other convex loss functions. We apply our general theory to factor-based nonparametric regression models and establish the minimax optimality of KRR when the feature inputs are predicted using principal component analysis. Our theoretical findings are further corroborated by simulation studies and real-data analyses using pretrained LLM embeddings for the downstream prediction task.

math.ST

One-shot Robust Federated Learning of Independent Component Analysis

This paper studies robust one-shot aggregation for distributed and federated Independent Component Analysis (ICA). In this setting, each client computes a local ICA estimator, while the server aims to recover a common global mixing matrix without accessing raw data. The main difficulty is that local ICA estimators are identifiable only up to signed permutations and may have highly heterogeneous estimation quality. We propose Spectral-Robust-Federated ICA (SRF-ICA), a one-shot aggregation method that constructs a sign-invariant affinity matrix from all local atoms, performs spectral k-means to resolve the permutation ambiguity, aligns signs within each estimated cluster, and then applies the geometric median for robust aggregation. We prove that the spectral clustering step controls the cluster-wise misclustering rate, and that the final estimator remains accurate even when a substantial fraction of local atoms are produced from low-quality clients, as long as each cluster contains a majority of reliable atoms. The analysis combines spectral perturbation bounds, k-means misclustering guarantees, and quantile-based robustness of the geometric median. Due to space constraints, simulation studies demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed approach under heterogeneous sample sizes and corruption levels are deferred to the appendix.

cs.LG

High-Dimensional Invariant Tests of Multivariate Normality Based on Radial Concentration

While the problem of testing multivariate normality has received considerable attention in the classical low-dimensional setting where the sample size $n$ is much larger than the feature dimension $d$ of the data, there is presently a dearth of existing tests which are valid in the high-dimensional setting where $d$ is of comparable or larger order than $n$. This paper studies the hypothesis testing problem of determining whether $n$ i.i.d. samples are generated from a $d$-dimensional multivariate normal distribution, in settings where $d$ grows with $n$ at some rate under a broad regime. To this end, we propose a new class of computationally efficient tests which can be regarded as a high-dimensional adaptation of the classical radial approach to testing normality. A key member of this class is a range-type test which, under a very general rate of growth of $d$ with respect to $n$, is proven to achieve both type I error-control and consistency for three important classes of alternatives; namely, finite mixture model, non-Gaussian elliptical, and leptokurtic alternatives. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate the superiority of our test compared to existing methods, and two gene expression applications demonstrate the effectiveness of our procedure for detecting violations of multivariate normality which are of potentially practical significance.

stat.ME

The EM-algorithm and the Method of Moments in Softmax Mixture Models

Softmax Mixture Models (SMMs) are discrete $K$-component mixture models for the probabilities of selecting one of $p$ candidate feature vectors $X_1,\ldots,X_p\in\mathbb{R}^L$ in heterogeneous populations and are widely used in econometrics and scientific applications. Related softmax mixture mechanisms also appear in modern LLM architectures. We provide a theoretical and methodological study of SMMs, focusing on the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm and the Method of Moments (MoM). We show that EM recovers the mixture atoms at the parametric rate, up to logarithmic factors, after $\mathcal{O}(\log N)$ iterations, provided atom separation is at least of order $\log K$. This improves on separation conditions in existing analyses of EM for high-dimensional Gaussian mixtures. We also develop MoM procedures for parameter and subspace estimation. Although MoM parameter estimates converge more slowly than EM and can deteriorate with $K$, they provide provable warm starts for EM and are useful for small $K$. For general $K$, we estimate the atom subspace via MoM and recommend running EM from multiple random initializations within this subspace. Finally, as $p\to\infty$, we show that SMMs approximate mixtures of exponential tilts of the feature distribution, yielding asymptotic identifiability.

stat.ML

A New Regression Lens on Multi-Class Classification

Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) is a fundamental method for classification. Its simple linear structure facilitates interpretation, and it is naturally suited to multi-class settings. LDA is also closely connected to several classical multivariate techniques, including Fisher's discriminant analysis, canonical correlation analysis, and linear regression. In this paper, we strengthen the connection between LDA and multivariate response regression by establishing an explicit relationship between discriminant directions and regression coefficients. This characterization yields a new regression-based framework for multi-class classification that accommodates structured, regularized, and even non-parametric regression methods. In contrast to existing regression-based approaches, our formulation is particularly amenable to theoretical analysis: we develop a general strategy for deriving bounds on the excess misclassification risk of the proposed classifier across all such regression procedures. As concrete applications, we provide complete theoretical guarantees for two widely used methods -- $\ell_1$-regularization and reduced-rank regression -- neither of which has previously been fully analyzed in the LDA context. The theoretical results are supported by extensive simulation studies and empirical evaluations on real data.

stat.ME

Optimal vintage factor analysis with deflation varimax

Vintage factor analysis is one important type of factor analysis that aims to first find a low-dimensional representation of the original data, and then to seek a rotation such that the rotated low-dimensional representation is scientifically meaningful. The most widely used vintage factor analysis is the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) followed by the varimax rotation. Despite its popularity, little theoretical guarantee can be provided to date mainly because varimax rotation requires to solve a non-convex optimization over the set of orthogonal matrices. In this paper, we propose a deflation varimax procedure that solves each row of an orthogonal matrix sequentially. In addition to its net computational gain and flexibility, we are able to fully establish theoretical guarantees for the proposed procedure in a broader context. Adopting this new deflation varimax as the second step after PCA, we further analyze this two step procedure under a general class of factor models. Our results show that it estimates the factor loading matrix in the minimax optimal rate when the signal-to-noise-ratio (SNR) is moderate or large. In the low SNR regime, we offer possible improvement over using PCA and the deflation varimax when the additive noise under the factor model is structured. The modified procedure is shown to be minimax optimal in all SNR regimes. Our theory is valid for finite sample and allows the number of the latent factors to grow with the sample size as well as the ambient dimension to grow with, or even exceed, the sample size. Extensive simulation and real data analysis further corroborate our theoretical findings.

stat.ML

Interpolating Discriminant Functions in High-Dimensional Gaussian Latent Mixtures

This paper considers binary classification of high-dimensional features under a postulated model with a low-dimensional latent Gaussian mixture structure and non-vanishing noise. A generalized least squares estimator is used to estimate the direction of the optimal separating hyperplane. The estimated hyperplane is shown to interpolate on the training data. While the direction vector can be consistently estimated as could be expected from recent results in linear regression, a naive plug-in estimate fails to consistently estimate the intercept. A simple correction, that requires an independent hold-out sample, renders the procedure minimax optimal in many scenarios. The interpolation property of the latter procedure can be retained, but surprisingly depends on the way the labels are encoded.

stat.ML

Optimal Discriminant Analysis in High-Dimensional Latent Factor Models

In high-dimensional classification problems, a commonly used approach is to first project the high-dimensional features into a lower dimensional space, and base the classification on the resulting lower dimensional projections. In this paper, we formulate a latent-variable model with a hidden low-dimensional structure to justify this two-step procedure and to guide which projection to choose. We propose a computationally efficient classifier that takes certain principal components (PCs) of the observed features as projections, with the number of retained PCs selected in a data-driven way. A general theory is established for analyzing such two-step classifiers based on any projections. We derive explicit rates of convergence of the excess risk of the proposed PC-based classifier. The obtained rates are further shown to be optimal up to logarithmic factors in the minimax sense. Our theory allows the lower-dimension to grow with the sample size and is also valid even when the feature dimension (greatly) exceeds the sample size. Extensive simulations corroborate our theoretical findings. The proposed method also performs favorably relative to other existing discriminant methods on three real data examples.

math.ST

Estimation and inference for the Wasserstein distance between mixing measures in topic models

The Wasserstein distance between mixing measures has come to occupy a central place in the statistical analysis of mixture models. This work proposes a new canonical interpretation of this distance and provides tools to perform inference on the Wasserstein distance between mixing measures in topic models. We consider the general setting of an identifiable mixture model consisting of mixtures of distributions from a set $\mathcal{A}$ equipped with an arbitrary metric $d$, and show that the Wasserstein distance between mixing measures is uniquely characterized as the most discriminative convex extension of the metric $d$ to the set of mixtures of elements of $\mathcal{A}$. The Wasserstein distance between mixing measures has been widely used in the study of such models, but without axiomatic justification. Our results establish this metric to be a canonical choice. Specializing our results to topic models, we consider estimation and inference of this distance. Though upper bounds for its estimation have been recently established elsewhere, we prove the first minimax lower bounds for the estimation of the Wasserstein distance in topic models. We also establish fully data-driven inferential tools for the Wasserstein distance in the topic model context. Our results apply to potentially sparse mixtures of high-dimensional discrete probability distributions. These results allow us to obtain the first asymptotically valid confidence intervals for the Wasserstein distance in topic models.

math.ST

Inference in High-dimensional Multivariate Response Regression with Hidden Variables

This paper studies the inference of the regression coefficient matrix under multivariate response linear regressions in the presence of hidden variables. A novel procedure for constructing confidence intervals of entries of the coefficient matrix is proposed. Our method first utilizes the multivariate nature of the responses by estimating and adjusting the hidden effect to construct an initial estimator of the coefficient matrix. By further deploying a low-dimensional projection procedure to reduce the bias introduced by the regularization in the previous step, a refined estimator is proposed and shown to be asymptotically normal. The asymptotic variance of the resulting estimator is derived with closed-form expression and can be consistently estimated. In addition, we propose a testing procedure for the existence of hidden effects and provide its theoretical justification. Both our procedures and their analyses are valid even when the feature dimension and the number of responses exceed the sample size. Our results are further backed up via extensive simulations and a real data analysis.

stat.ME

Likelihood estimation of sparse topic distributions in topic models and its applications to Wasserstein document distance calculations

This paper studies the estimation of high-dimensional, discrete, possibly sparse, mixture models in topic models. The data consists of observed multinomial counts of $p$ words across $n$ independent documents. In topic models, the $p\times n$ expected word frequency matrix is assumed to be factorized as a $p\times K$ word-topic matrix $A$ and a $K\times n$ topic-document matrix $T$. Since columns of both matrices represent conditional probabilities belonging to probability simplices, columns of $A$ are viewed as $p$-dimensional mixture components that are common to all documents while columns of $T$ are viewed as the $K$-dimensional mixture weights that are document specific and are allowed to be sparse. The main interest is to provide sharp, finite sample, $\ell_1$-norm convergence rates for estimators of the mixture weights $T$ when $A$ is either known or unknown. For known $A$, we suggest MLE estimation of $T$. Our non-standard analysis of the MLE not only establishes its $\ell_1$ convergence rate, but reveals a remarkable property: the MLE, with no extra regularization, can be exactly sparse and contain the true zero pattern of $T$. We further show that the MLE is both minimax optimal and adaptive to the unknown sparsity in a large class of sparse topic distributions. When $A$ is unknown, we estimate $T$ by optimizing the likelihood function corresponding to a plug in, generic, estimator $\hat{A}$ of $A$. For any estimator $\hat{A}$ that satisfies carefully detailed conditions for proximity to $A$, the resulting estimator of $T$ is shown to retain the properties established for the MLE. The ambient dimensions $K$ and $p$ are allowed to grow with the sample sizes. Our application is to the estimation of 1-Wasserstein distances between document generating distributions. We propose, estimate and analyze new 1-Wasserstein distances between two probabilistic document representations.

math.ST

Unique sparse decomposition of low rank matrices

The problem of finding the unique low dimensional decomposition of a given matrix has been a fundamental and recurrent problem in many areas. In this paper, we study the problem of seeking a unique decomposition of a low rank matrix $Y\in \mathbb{R}^{p\times n}$ that admits a sparse representation. Specifically, we consider $Y = A X\in \mathbb{R}^{p\times n}$ where the matrix $A\in \mathbb{R}^{p\times r}$ has full column rank, with $r < \min\{n,p\}$, and the matrix $X\in \mathbb{R}^{r\times n}$ is element-wise sparse. We prove that this sparse decomposition of $Y$ can be uniquely identified, up to some intrinsic signed permutation. Our approach relies on solving a nonconvex optimization problem constrained over the unit sphere. Our geometric analysis for the nonconvex optimization landscape shows that any {\em strict} local solution is close to the ground truth solution, and can be recovered by a simple data-driven initialization followed with any second order descent algorithm. At last, we corroborate these theoretical results with numerical experiments.

math.OC

Detecting approximate replicate components of a high-dimensional random vector with latent structure

High-dimensional feature vectors are likely to contain sets of measurements that are approximate replicates of one another. In complex applications, or automated data collection, these feature sets are not known a priori, and need to be determined. This work proposes a class of latent factor models on the observed high-dimensional random vector $X \in \mathbb{R}^p$, for defining, identifying and estimating the index set of its approximately replicate components. The model class is parametrized by a $p \times K$ loading matrix $A$ that contains a hidden sub-matrix whose rows can be partitioned into groups of parallel vectors. Under this model class, a set of approximate replicate components of $X$ corresponds to a set of parallel rows in $A$: these entries of $X$ are, up to scale and additive error, the same linear combination of the $K$ latent factors; the value of $K$ is itself unknown. The problem of finding approximate replicates in $X$ reduces to identifying, and estimating, the location of the hidden sub-matrix within $A$, and of the partition of its row index set $H$. Both $H$ and its partiton can be fully characterized in terms of a new family of criteria based on the correlation matrix of $X$, and their identifiability, as well as that of the unknown latent dimension $K$, are obtained as consequences. The constructive nature of the identifiability arguments enables computationally efficient procedures, with consistency guarantees. When $A$ has the errors-in-variable parametrization, the difficulty of the problem is elevated. The task becomes that of separating out groups of parallel rows that are proportional to canonical basis vectors from other dense parallel rows in $A$. This is met under a scale assumption, via a principled way of selecting the target row indices, guided by the succesive maximization of Schur complements of appropriate covariance matrices.

stat.ME

Prediction in latent factor regression: Adaptive PCR and beyond

This work is devoted to the finite sample prediction risk analysis of a class of linear predictors of a response $Y\in \mathbb{R}$ from a high-dimensional random vector $X\in \mathbb{R}^p$ when $(X,Y)$ follows a latent factor regression model generated by a unobservable latent vector $Z$ of dimension less than $p$. Our primary contribution is in establishing finite sample risk bounds for prediction with the ubiquitous Principal Component Regression (PCR) method, under the factor regression model, with the number of principal components adaptively selected from the data -- a form of theoretical guarantee that is surprisingly lacking from the PCR literature. To accomplish this, we prove a master theorem that establishes a risk bound for a large class of predictors, including the PCR predictor as a special case. This approach has the benefit of providing a unified framework for the analysis of a wide range of linear prediction methods, under the factor regression setting. In particular, we use our main theorem to recover known risk bounds for the minimum-norm interpolating predictor, which has received renewed attention in the past two years, and a prediction method tailored to a subclass of factor regression models with identifiable parameters. This model-tailored method can be interpreted as prediction via clusters with latent centers. To address the problem of selecting among a set of candidate predictors, we analyze a simple model selection procedure based on data-splitting, providing an oracle inequality under the factor model to prove that the performance of the selected predictor is close to the optimal candidate. We conclude with a detailed simulation study to support and complement our theoretical results.

stat.ML

Adaptive Estimation in Multivariate Response Regression with Hidden Variables

This paper studies the estimation of the coefficient matrix $\Ttheta$ in multivariate regression with hidden variables, $Y = (\Ttheta)^TX + (B^*)^TZ + E$, where $Y$ is a $m$-dimensional response vector, $X$ is a $p$-dimensional vector of observable features, $Z$ represents a $K$-dimensional vector of unobserved hidden variables, possibly correlated with $X$, and $E$ is an independent error. The number of hidden variables $K$ is unknown and both $m$ and $p$ are allowed but not required to grow with the sample size $n$. Since only $Y$ and $X$ are observable, we provide necessary conditions for the identifiability of $\Ttheta$. The same set of conditions are shown to be sufficient when the error $E$ is homoscedastic. Our identifiability proof is constructive and leads to a novel and computationally efficient estimation algorithm, called HIVE. The first step of the algorithm is to estimate the best linear prediction of $Y$ given $X$ in which the unknown coefficient matrix exhibits an additive decomposition of $\Ttheta$ and a dense matrix originated from the correlation between $X$ and the hidden variable $Z$. Under the row sparsity assumption on $\Ttheta$, we propose to minimize a penalized least squares loss by regularizing $\Ttheta$ via a group-lasso penalty and regularizing the dense matrix via a multivariate ridge penalty. Non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the in-sample prediction error are established. Our second step is to estimate the row space of $B^*$ by leveraging the covariance structure of the residual vector from the first step. In the last step, we remove the effect of hidden variable by projecting $Y$ onto the complement of the estimated row space of $B^*$. Non-asymptotic error bounds of our final estimator are established. The model identifiability, parameter estimation and statistical guarantees are further extended to the setting with heteroscedastic errors.

math.ST

Optimal estimation of sparse topic models

Topic models have become popular tools for dimension reduction and exploratory analysis of text data which consists in observed frequencies of a vocabulary of $p$ words in $n$ documents, stored in a $p\times n$ matrix. The main premise is that the mean of this data matrix can be factorized into a product of two non-negative matrices: a $p\times K$ word-topic matrix $A$ and a $K\times n$ topic-document matrix $W$. This paper studies the estimation of $A$ that is possibly element-wise sparse, and the number of topics $K$ is unknown. In this under-explored context, we derive a new minimax lower bound for the estimation of such $A$ and propose a new computationally efficient algorithm for its recovery. We derive a finite sample upper bound for our estimator, and show that it matches the minimax lower bound in many scenarios. Our estimate adapts to the unknown sparsity of $A$ and our analysis is valid for any finite $n$, $p$, $K$ and document lengths. Empirical results on both synthetic data and semi-synthetic data show that our proposed estimator is a strong competitor of the existing state-of-the-art algorithms for both non-sparse $A$ and sparse $A$, and has superior performance is many scenarios of interest.

stat.ML