arXiv subjects

Zaijin You

Publications and source records attributed to Zaijin You.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

AUWave: A Data-Driven Model for Reconstructing Significant Wave Heights Using Sparse Observations

Reconstructing high-resolution regional significant wave height (SWH) fields from sparse buoy observations is a critical challenge for ocean monitoring. We introduce AUWave, a hybrid deep learning framework that fuses a station-wise encoder with a multi-scale U-Net enhanced by self-attention to recover regional SWH fields. Trained and validated using NDBC buoy observations and ERA5 reanalysis over the Hawaii region, AUWave achieves high accuracy. It consistently outperforms a representative baseline, especially in configurations with more than a single buoy, demonstrating the benefit of its multi-scale architecture. Spatial error analysis shows performance is highest near observation sites, as expected. Further, buoy ablation studies identify critical anchor stations whose removal disproportionately degrades performance, offering actionable guidance for observational network design. AUWave provides a scalable pathway for gap-filling, creating high-resolution priors for data assimilation, and contingency reconstruction. Cross-basin evaluations in the Atlantic and Pacific confirm the model robustness and portability, highlighting its potential for operational use across diverse ocean regimes.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2026

On the Limits of Univariate Deep Learning for Significant Wave Height Forecasting

This study conducts a systematic hyperparameter search across five deep learning architectures, DLinear, LSTM, PatchTST, ResAttLstm, and Mamba2, and nine context lengths (1-168 h) for single-station significant wave height (Hs) forecasting on NDBC buoy 41009, followed by re-evaluation of the best configurations on a 47-buoy, 37-year corpus. The five families converge to a common performance level on the multi-buoy evaluation (between-family SD = 0.0014 m^2, 0.8% of the grand mean), a spread dwarfed by the 4.83x cross-dataset MSE shift between buoy corpora. All multi-buoy trials beat persistence (mean skill +0.062), but no architecture consistently outperforms the others. On the single-buoy experiment, skill peaks at 12-24 h where five trials fall below persistence, per-family Q4/Q3 test MSE ratios range from 2.4 to 2.6, and deep models underperform persistence for the most extreme 1% of waves. These findings are consistent with the interpretation that persistence already captures the dominant linear-inertial signal in univariate Hs, and that architecture engineering under this univariate input setting has reached diminishing returns: cross-buoy variance, not model class, dominates forecast error. Future work should prioritise atmospheric covariates, zero-shot cross-buoy transfer, and decomposition of Hs into swell and wind-sea components. By establishing a rigorous reference baseline for what univariate Hs models can and cannot achieve, this study provides a benchmark against which future multivariate and physics-informed approaches can be calibrated, and offers practical guidance for lightweight buoy-level forecasting in mid-latitude storm-dominated and swell-mixed environments.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2025

Improving Significant Wave Height Prediction Using Chronos Models

Accurate wave height prediction is critical for maritime safety and coastal resilience, yet conventional physics-based models and traditional machine learning methods face challenges in computational efficiency and nonlinear dynamics modeling. This study introduces Chronos, the first implementation of a large language model (LLM)-powered temporal architecture (Chronos) optimized for wave forecasting. Through advanced temporal pattern recognition applied to historical wave data from three strategically chosen marine zones in the Northwest Pacific basin, our framework achieves multimodal improvements: (1) 14.3% reduction in training time with 2.5x faster inference speed compared to PatchTST baselines, achieving 0.575 mean absolute scaled error (MASE) units; (2) superior short-term forecasting (1-24h) across comprehensive metrics; (3) sustained predictive leadership in extended-range forecasts (1-120h); and (4) demonstrated zero-shot capability maintaining median performance (rank 4/12) against specialized operational models. This LLM-enhanced temporal modeling paradigm establishes a new standard in wave prediction, offering both computationally efficient solutions and a transferable framework for complex geophysical systems modeling.

cs.LG↗