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GenONet: A Generative operator Network for High-Resolution Precipitation Nowcasting

High-resolution precipitation nowcasting is critical for reducing the impacts of severe weather but remains difficult because of rapid storm evolution. Deep learning models have shown great promise for this task, but their predictive skill often deteriorates over longer forecast horizons. This leads to increasingly blurry forecasts that fail to capture the complex, non-linear evolution of storm systems. In order to address these limitations, we introduce Spatio-Temporal U-DeepONet (GenONet), a novel architecture for long-range precipitation forecasting up to 3 hours, specifically designed to produce sharp and physically consistent results. GenONet's architecture pioneers the use of a Deep Operator Network (DeepONet) as a generator within a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) framework for this task. The DeepONet learns the continuous-time dynamics of precipitation, ensuring stability over long forecast horizons. Adversial training against a spatio-temporal discriminator compels the model to produce sharp, coherent forecasts, while a physics-informed loss regularizer, derived from the Moisture Conservation Equation, improves physical plausibility in our ablation setting. Quantitative evaluations show that our model achieves consistently higher scores on most of the metrics, especially for highintensity events and at longer lead times. Qualitatively, GenONet produces structurally coherent forecasts that maintain their integrity, whereas baseline models degrade into indistinct patterns. Finally, an ablation study confirms the benefit of this physics-informed loss, highlighting the strength of combining operator learning with adversarial training.

cs.LG

China's Shrinking Home Bias and Rising Disruptive Impact: Evidence from a Global Citation Network Analysis

China has become the world's largest producer of scientific publications, yet concerns persist that this growth is inflated by excessive domestic citation practices. In this study, we analyze a citation network of over 45 million publications from Web of Science (1980-2025) to investigate China's home citation bias and research impact. Using a network reshuffling null model to control for the structural effect of publication volume, we find that China's home citation bias is less pronounced than commonly assumed and has been steadily declining over the past two decades. Chinese researchers do not exhibit a significantly stronger home citation preference than other major countries, indicating increasing internationalization rather than insularity. Furthermore, using the persistent disruption framework, we show that Chinese papers are converging toward American papers in their capacity to produce paradigm-shifting work. These findings challenge prevailing narratives about Chinese scientific home bias and suggest that China's advances in research impact.

physics.soc-ph

Diffusion-Based Refinement for Kilometer-Scale Probabilistic Precipitation Nowcasting

Localized extreme precipitation is a major trigger of urban flash floods and landslides, yet producing nowcasts that combine fine spatial detail with probabilistic uncertainty remains challenging. Here we introduce exPreCast-ENS, a conditional residual diffusion framework that transforms the deterministic 4 km radar nowcaster exPreCast into a 1 km probabilistic ensemble while correcting systematic forecast errors. Conditioning on both the forecast and preceding radar observations lets the ensemble-mean correct the baseline rather than perturb it, while members represent unresolved fine-scale variability. Over the Korean Peninsula, skill improves with ensemble size. In two high-impact events in 2023, a 30-member ensemble recovers 38-47% of heavy-rain pixels missed by exPreCast while retaining approximately 95% of its correct detections and alarming on under 1% of the pixels it correctly left clear. The method generates a 1-h forecast in 3.4 s on a single GPU and yields consistent improvements on the French regional MeteoNet radar dataset.

cs.LG

Behavioral calibration of mobile-phone GPS data for population-representative analyses

Mobile phone mobility data have transformed the study of human behavior, but demographic and behavioral biases can compromise their representativeness and distort population-level inference. Existing calibration approaches primarily address demographic and geographic representativeness, leaving behavioral discrepancies largely uncorrected. Here we introduce the Behavioral Population (BePop) framework, which jointly calibrates mobility data to representative demographic and behavioral distributions using census data and time-use surveys. BePop embeds mobility sequences into behavioral profiles and estimates person-level weights that align both population composition and daily activity patterns. Across three U.S. metropolitan areas, the framework consistently improves agreement between GPS-derived mobility and representative behavioral distributions, including time allocation, activity transitions, and mobility motifs. Calibration also substantially alters downstream mobility indicators, demonstrating that behavioral biases can propagate into commonly used mobility measures. Our results establish behavioral representativeness as a critical complement to demographic calibration and provide a general framework for population-representative mobility inference.

physics.soc-ph

A unified geometric design framework for kirigami structures

In recent years, kirigami metamaterials have been widely studied and applied in science and engineering. While various two- and three-dimensional kirigami design methods have been developed, most of them are only applicable to a limited class of kirigami structures. In this work, we develop a unified framework for kirigami design that encompasses a wide range of 2D-to-2D, 2D-to-3D, and 3D-to-3D shape-morphing effects, as well as additional geometric and physical properties such as compact reconfigurability and rigid deployability. In particular, by reformulating the design task as a length-based constrained optimization problem and solving it simultaneously for multiple target states of the kirigami structure, our unified design framework enables greater design flexibility and stronger theoretical support. Experimental results with a wide range of shape-morphing effects are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework. We further present a rigorous theoretical analysis of several key aspects of kirigami design, covering inertia transposition, aspect-ratio law, and angle defects, thereby elucidating important design rules and limitations. Altogether, our work paves a new way for the design of shape-morphing mechanical metamaterials.

cond-mat.soft

Information geometric bound on general chemical reaction networks

We investigate the dynamics of chemical reaction networks (CRNs) with the goal of deriving an upper bound on their reaction rates. This task is challenging due to the nonlinear nature and discrete structure inherent in CRNs. To address this, we employ an information geometric approach, using the natural gradient, to develop a nonlinear system that yields an upper bound for CRN dynamics. We validate our approach through numerical simulations, demonstrating faster convergence in a specific class of CRNs. This class is characterized by the number of chemicals, the maximum value of stoichiometric coefficients of the chemical reactions, and the number of reactions. We also compare our method to a conventional approach, showing that the latter cannot provide an upper bound on reaction rates of CRNs. While our study focuses on CRNs, the ubiquity of hypergraphs in fields from natural sciences to engineering suggests that our method may find broader applications, including in information science.

physics.chem-ph

Evaluating LLM-based AI agents integrated with materials synthesis tools: the case of atomic layer deposition

This work provides an overview of the different strategies that can be used to evaluate the performance of AI models and agents based on large language models (LLMs) for materials synthesis. After providing a brief overview of the key technologies behind the current generation of AI agents based on LLMs, we summarize the different approaches to evaluating these models in the context of materials science and in particular on materials synthesis, with a specific emphasis on scenarios in which the models are directly integrated with experimental tools. We discuss evaluation strategies spanning knowledge and reasoning benchmarks, tool-use benchmarks, and closed loop benchmarks involving the interaction with experimental systems or realistic virtual tools. We use atomic layer deposition (ALD) as a case study, emphasizing how existing approaches in the literature both build from general approaches used beyond materials science and can be generalized to other materials synthesis techniques. Finally, we provide a practical evaluation framework to evaluate LLMs in the context of materials synthesis

cond-mat.mtrl-sci

Detecting the ultra low dimensionality of real networks

Reducing dimension redundancy to find simplifying patterns in high-dimensional datasets and complex networks has become a major endeavor in many scientific fields. However, detecting the dimensionality of their latent space is challenging but necessary to generate efficient embeddings to be used in a multitude of downstream tasks. Here, we propose a method to infer the dimensionality of networks without the need for any a priori spatial embedding. Due to the ability of hyperbolic geometry to capture the complex connectivity of real networks, we detect ultra low dimensionality far below values reported using other approaches. We applied our method to real networks from different domains and found unexpected regularities, including: tissue-specific biomolecular networks being extremely low dimensional; brain connectomes being close to the three dimensions of their anatomical embedding; and social networks and the Internet requiring slightly higher dimensionality. Beyond paving the way towards an ultra efficient dimensional reduction, our findings help address fundamental issues that hinge on dimensionality, such as universality in critical behavior.

physics.soc-ph

Reinforcement learning framework for the mechanical design of microelectronic components under multiphysics constraints

This study focuses on the development of reinforcement learning based techniques for the design of microelectronic components under multiphysics constraints. While traditional design approaches based on global optimization approaches are effective when dealing with a small number of design parameters, as the complexity of the solution space and of the constraints increases different techniques are needed. This is an important reason that makes the design and optimization of microelectronic components (characterized by large solution space and multiphysics constraints) very challenging for traditional methods. By taking as prototypical elements an application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) and a heterogeneously integrated (HI) interposer, we develop and numerically test an optimization framework based on reinforcement learning (RL). More specifically, we consider the optimization of the bonded interconnect geometry for an ASIC chip as well as the placement of components on a HI interposer while satisfying thermoelastic and design constraints. This placement problem is particularly interesting because it features a high-dimensional solution space.

physics.comp-ph

Toward a social psychology of AI: language-model agents reproduce human-like minimal-group bias

Language-model agents now interact in groups, but evaluations that probe memorised stereotype content or use models to simulate people leave this social behaviour unmeasured. We adapt the minimal-group paradigm---social psychology's classic test of intergroup bias---into a controlled probe: an agent distributes points among anonymous peers bearing only an arbitrary group label. Across four reasoning models, mere categorisation into meaningless groups elicited in-group favouritism that vanished under a group-blind control and was concentrated in the numerical minority: minority deciders over-allocated to their own group relative to their numbers, majority deciders allocated close to proportionally, and the asymmetry closed at equal group sizes. Disabling reasoning in one model did not remove the disposition---if anything it grew---but nearly erased the minority-majority asymmetry, implicating deliberation in where bias concentrates rather than whether it appears. These open-weight reasoning models reproduce the behavioural signature of human intergroup discrimination, independent of stereotype content, and social psychology's theories and methods offer a paradigm for measuring and governing AI's social behaviour.

physics.soc-ph

A meshfree solver for coupled bulk-surface problems with self-organizing surface geometry

In many systems, the interaction between a deformable surface or interface and the surrounding bulk fluid is coupled with intrinsic spatiotemporal dynamics within the moving surface. Examples include tumor growth, biological tissue morphogenesis, cardiac mechanics, multi-phase surfactant chemistry, additive manufacturing, clothing wear-and-tear, and reactive combustion flows. Solving such problems requires both geometric computing algorithms to track and resolve the surface and numerical methods to solve the coupled governing equations in the surface and the surrounding bulk phase. Here, we present a fully meshfree numerical solver for such coupled bulk-surface problems with deformable interfaces. The presented solver tracks the surface implicitly, solving for the dynamic surface geometry based on stress balance coupled to surrounding fluid phases. We show convergence for a mass-conserving case on a growing sphere and solve bulk-surface problems with incompressible Navier-Stokes fluids coupled to in-surface nonlinear reaction-diffusion dynamics. Finally, we show a model of biological morphogenesis, solving simultaneously for the dynamic surface shape and the fields on the curved surface with two-way coupling.

cs.CE

Horizon-Dependent Tube MPC for Elliptical-Orbit Rendezvous Under Mass Uncertainty

A spacecraft closing on a target from three hundred kilometres to contact flies one guidance law across five orders of magnitude of range, and a controller that is provably safe at close range can lose that guarantee completely at long range while continuing to fly as though nothing were wrong. This paper derives the range at which the guarantee lapses and uses it as a design rule. The bound compares the prediction model's own linearisation error against the disturbance set the controller was built to reject, and needs only the sampling period, the orbit and that disturbance bound, so it can be evaluated before any simulation. On a Mars Sample Return approach it disqualifies the homing phase, where most of the propellant is spent, and clears the other two. Re-posing the disqualified phase in relative orbital elements restores the guarantee; re-posing a phase the rule already clears, in a frame two orders of magnitude more accurate, changes propellant by under a tenth of one per cent, and it is that second prediction that makes the rule falsifiable rather than descriptive. The constraint tightening also ties the prediction horizon to feasibility, so the horizon search limit becomes a mission parameter rather than a solver setting. Against a reimplementation of a published benchmark that reproduces its propellant to within one per cent, over five hundred dispersed Monte Carlo transfers per case on matched seeds, the controller saves 29% of the propellant on a circular target orbit and 40% on an eccentric one, docking inside the 0.20 m capture requirement on essentially every draw at a median miss near 5 cm. Two results run the other way: the saving is bought with time of flight and computation, and it comes from what the guarantee demanded of the terminal condition rather than from better disturbance rejection. Recursive feasibility and asymptotic stability are not claimed.

eess.SY

Latent unified smooth Hamiltonians for excited state chemistry

We describe a neural network architecture and training procedure designed to model electronic ground and excited states of arbitrary molecular systems. By indirectly learning a latent, implicit basis representation of the electronic-state Hamiltonian, the model offers a unified treatment of multiple electronic states, conical intersections, and non-adiabatic couplings. The formalism can be further extended to learn consistent latent representations of additional operators such as transition dipole moments, for example. To demonstrate the general capabilities of our architecture, we train and evaluate networks on two realistic photochemical systems, thymine and azobenzene. The resulting models accurately reproduce energies and oscillator strengths for the ground- and low-lying excited states relevant to the photochemistry of these systems. We highlight the performance of the trained networks by studying critical molecular geometries, including conical intersections and excited state minima. By construction, the proposed framework also recovers the emergence of Berry phase accumulation around conical intersections. By pairing key mathematical structure from quantum chemistry with the representation learning power of transformers, the presented architecture offers a qualitatively new path toward fast and accurate ground- and excited-state simulations.

physics.chem-ph

Spatial symmetry invariance of solution of Kolmogorov flow

We prove a mathematical theorem that solution for all $t > 0$ of the two-dimensional (2D) Kolmogorov flow governed by Navier-Stokes (NS) equations with periodic boundary condition keeps the same spatial symmetry as its smooth initial condition. The proof of a similar theorem for the three-dimensional NS equations is given in the appendix. These mathematical theorems can be used to check the correctness and reliability of numerical simulations of NS turbulence. For example, they support the corresponding CNS (clean numerical simulation) results of the 2D and 3D turbulent Kolmogorov flows [1-3] that remain the same spatial symmetry in the whole time interval of simulation, but do not support the corresponding DNS (direct numerical simulation) results that lose the spatial symmetry quickly. In other words, these DNS results violate these mathematical theorems. Thus, these mathematical theorems rigorously confirm that the spatiotemporal trajectories of NS turbulence given by DNS are indeed quickly polluted by numerical noises badly. All of these indicate that CNS can indeed provide helpful enlightenments to deepen our understanding about turbulence and besides approach some mathematical truths about NS equations.

physics.flu-dyn

Accelerated S-NFC for Million-Chaff RCS Computation Using Low-Rank Compression of Concatenated Block Rows

Sparsification via neglecting far-field coupling (S-NFC) enables fast full-wave radar-cross-section analysis of large-scale chaff clouds by retaining only significant local electromagnetic interactions. This letter further accelerates S-NFC by concatenating the retained off-diagonal interaction blocks associated with each receiving chaff element and applying a joint low-rank factorization with a shared receiving-side basis. Exact self interactions are preserved, while repeated chaff templates reuse precomputed lower--upper factorizations of the self-interaction blocks. The compressed formulation reduces retained-coupling storage and matrix--vector multiplication cost and also decreases the number of iterations required by the generalized conjugate residual solver. Numerical tests with 100,000 chaff elements demonstrate sub-$1\%$ complex-far-field error for low-rank approximations in sparse regimes and identify a practical self-only limit at sufficiently large mean spacing. For a one-million-chaff plume, the proposed compressed S-NFC achieves a $6.92\times$ end-to-end speedup over uncompressed S-NFC while storing only $6.60\%$ of the retained coupling, with a complex-far-field error of $0.253\%$.

physics.comp-ph

Beyond Pairwise Graphs in Science: Hypergraph Adaptive Wavelet Operators for Parametric PDEs

Physical systems are often modeled by solution operators that map input fields, parameters, geometries, or past states to steady or future physical states. Learning these maps is difficult, especially for time-dependent systems that must assimilate history and remain stable under autoregressive rollout. Many neural operators work best on regular, structured grids, while realistic simulations often require unstructured meshes or point clouds to resolve complex geometries; in such settings, grid-centric representations can lose accuracy. Graph neural operators handle these domains through message passing or spectral graph filtering, but pairwise edges do not directly capture group-wise couplings among mesh cells, local neighborhoods, or conservation volumes. We introduce the Hypergraph Adaptive waveLet Operator (HALO), which lifts the domain to a hypergraph and learns in its spectral wavelet domain. HALO avoids explicit hypergraph-Laplacian eigendecomposition through Chebyshev polynomial wavelet filters, giving localized spectral kernels at linear sparse-matrix cost. Its trainable dyadic wavelet scales are regularized toward tight-frame coverage, allowing the frequency response to adapt to each PDE while encouraging stable multi-scale spectral coverage. Across 2D and 3D benchmarks on structured and unstructured discretizations, HALO achieves best or near-best accuracy among frequency-, transformer-, DeepONet-, state-space-, and graph-based baselines and sustains stable multi-step rollouts. The same model scales to industrial aerodynamic geometries: on meshes of a few hundred thousand points it is on par with, or better than, the strongest fixed-discretization transformers, while remaining resolution-equivariant.

cs.LG

Integrating adaptive human behavior into epidemic models with large language models

Infectious disease transmission is shaped by patterns of human interaction, which adapt as epidemic conditions change. Capturing these context-dependent behaviors remains a fundamental challenge for epidemic models. Here, we recast this challenge by using large language models (LLMs) to represent adaptive human behavior within mechanistic epidemic models. We operationalize this idea through Generative Adaptive Behavioral Layer for Epidemics (GABLE), which adapts LLMs to infer behavioral responses to epidemic and policy conditions and translates them into age-structured contact matrices coupled to a mechanistic epidemic model. Applied to COVID-19 in France, GABLE reproduced responses in population mixing and age-specific contact structures that remained epidemiologically informative. In short-term forecasting, LLM-generated contact matrices outperformed mobility-driven matrices derived from real-world mobility data, with the largest gains at longer horizons. GABLE also extends beyond forecasting to prospective policy evaluation by projecting behavioral and epidemic responses to candidate interventions before implementation. When supplied with subsequently implemented policies, GABLE reproduced epidemic trajectories and generated distinct responses to alternative policy timing and composition. By leveraging LLMs as a flexible behavioral layer, GABLE provides a framework for coupling context-sensitive behavioral generation with epidemic dynamics.

physics.soc-ph

PyDoseRT Proton: A GPU Pencil-Beam Engine with a Convolutional Residual-Correction Network for Fast Proton Dose Calculation

Architecture category. Hybrid method: a physics-based analytical pencil-beam (PB) dose engine followed by a 3-D convolutional residual-correction network (RepVGG-U-Net). We addressed the DoseRAD2026 proton dose-prediction task with PyDoseRT Proton, a GPU-accelerated engine implemented in PyTorch and augmented by a learned residual toward Monte Carlo (MC) accuracy. A double-Gaussian PB kernel was calibrated to GATE/Geant4 integrated depth doses in water in two stages: a classical per-energy curve fit, then a gradient-based fit of the full 3-D dose through the PyTorch physics engine as it retains a differentiable execution path for gradient-based optimization of dose-dependent objectives. The engine computes each beamlet on a beam's-eye-view (BEV) lattice with variance-preserving Gaussian splitting, an analytic nuclear halo, and a Fermi-Eyges heterogeneity term, then rotates the result into the patient frame. Additionally, a compact residual U-Net predicts an additive correction in BEV space. It is conditioned on voxelwise material-label embeddings, a discrete energy embedding and spot size. The same model was used for all anatomical sites (thoracic and abdominal). It was trained with a patient-space L1 objective emphasizing the scored high-dose region and multi-scale BEV deep supervision. The submitted CT configuration obtained preliminary-test beamlet MAE 0.0066, image-z IDD distance 0.0025, plan MAE 0.0049, 98.30\% gamma pass rate (1\%/1 mm), and DVH error 0.460.

physics.med-ph