arXiv2026
The potential expansion of the National Basketball Association (NBA) to 32 teams raises the question of how to restructure its conferences and divisions while balancing travel efficiency, fairness in team travel burdens, and commercial exposure. This study provides a quantitative framework for expansion planning. We develop two optimization models: one minimizing total travel distance and another following the Kalai-Smorodinsky (KS) proportional-improvement principle. The KS model maximizes the smallest normalized travel improvement between a team's fixed reference and individual ideal. Both models incorporate an opponent-exposure constraint to account for commercial considerations, and take into account road trips when measuring travel distance. Using data from all 30 current franchises and six candidate cities (Seattle, Las Vegas, Montreal, Vancouver, Tampa, and Mexico City), we evaluate 15 pairwise expansion scenarios under alternative season lengths and divisional formats. In the 30-team comparison, KS strikes a good balance between overall travel efficiency and fairness across teams, giving greater attention to individual travel burdens while keeping total travel close to the distance-minimizing solution. The expansion results show that travel requirements depend jointly on the candidate city pair and the competition format, highlighting the need to assess expansion and realignment together. Our study offers a flexible decision support framework for league executives, policymakers, and sports economists. It makes the trade-offs between total travel, individual gains, and opponent exposure explicit, providing evidence-based guidance for strategic league design.