arXiv2026
We study whether symplectic quandle colorings can reveal causal structure encoded by "sky links", the links formed by the spheres of all light rays through two events in the space of light rays of a $(2+1)$-dimensional globally hyperbolic spacetime. The testbed is the connected sum of two Hopf links $H$ (causally unrelated events) and the infinite family of Allen-Swenberg links $L_n$, which the Alexander-Conway polynomial cannot tell apart from $H$. We use the enhanced quandle counting polynomial, in which every coloring is weighted by the size of the subquandle generated by its colors. For the 16-element symplectic quandle $T=(\mathbb{Z}/4)^2$ we prove that $|\mathrm{Hom}(Q(L_n),T)| = 640 + 96\cdot 16^n$ for every $n\ge 1$, while $|\mathrm{Hom}(Q(H),T)| = 736$, and we determine the enhanced polynomial of every $L_n$. Hence already the plain quandle counting invariant distinguishes $H$ from every Allen-Swenberg link, and the Allen-Swenberg links from each other. Analogous closed formulas hold for $(\mathbb{Z}/2)^4$ and for an 8-element degenerate symplectic quandle $(\mathbb{Z}/2)^3$ ($176+48\cdot 16^n$ versus $224$), and the quandle $(\mathbb{Z}_7)^2$ also separates $H$ from the whole family. Over $(\mathbb{Z}_p)^2$ the enhanced polynomial carries at most one number beyond the counting invariant, and whether it separates $L_1$ from $H$ depends on $p$: it does for $p=7,11,17,19,23,31$ and does not for $p=2,3,5,13$. The proofs combine an exact transfer-matrix description of the family with certified finite computations.