Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 1501.02905

Sampling Online Social Networks via Heterogeneous Statistics

Abstract

Most sampling techniques for online social networks (OSNs) are based on a particular sampling method on a single graph, which is referred to as a statistics. However, various realizing methods on different graphs could possibly be used in the same OSN, and they may lead to different sampling efficiencies, i.e., asymptotic variances. To utilize multiple statistics for accurate measurements, we formulate a mixture sampling problem, through which we construct a mixture unbiased estimator which minimizes asymptotic variance. Given fixed sampling budgets for different statistics, we derive the optimal weights to combine the individual estimators; given fixed total budget, we show that a greedy allocation towards the most efficient statistics is optimal. In practice, the sampling efficiencies of statistics can be quite different for various targets and are unknown before sampling. To solve this problem, we design a two-stage framework which adaptively spends a partial budget to test different statistics and allocates the remaining budget to the inferred best statistics. We show that our two-stage framework is a generalization of 1) randomly choosing a statistics and 2) evenly allocating the total budget among all available statistics, and our adaptive algorithm achieves higher efficiency than these benchmark strategies in theory and experiment.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Xin Wang, Richard T. B. Ma, Yinlong Xu, Zhipeng Li. 2015-12-18. Sampling Online Social Networks via Heterogeneous Statistics. https://arxiv.org/abs/1501.02905

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Why Does Misinformation Propagate Faster? An Algorithmic Perspective on X

Misinformation is widely reported to propagate faster on engagement-based platforms, yet prior work largely focused on empirical analysis, without identifying a specific algorithmic mechanism that results in this phenomenon. Thanks to the open-sourcing of X's recommendation algorithms, we conduct what is, to our knowledge, the first component-level study of the recommendation algorithm deployed by a social media platform, which examines how each of its components affects misinformation propagation. Specifically, we identify the engagement fungibility mechanism in the algorithm, where the final recommendation score is constructed as a weighted sum of all predicted user activities. As a result, a tweet can be repeatedly recommended simply because it is predicted to draw many instant reactions (e.g., likes and retweets), even when it is not expected to draw thoughtful responses (e.g., replies and quotes). Since misinformation typically draws a larger share of its engagement from instant reactions, this mechanism enables it to receive more recommendation exposure and to propagate faster. To empirically validate this mechanism, we re-implement X's recommendation algorithm on the USC X 2024 election corpus, and build a calibrated simulation study to analyze the impact of different scoring rules. We find that re-tuning the metric weights has little or even a negative impact on reducing the credibility exposure gap, while those scoring rules that set a precondition of thoughtful engagement for amplification would be able to alleviate the gap significantly, across 46 robustness checks. Our diagnosis, therefore, yields a simple and deployable fix, a reflective-threshold gate that withholds amplification until a tweet is predicted to draw thoughtful engagement, which we find to reallocate exposure away from low-credibility content at no cost to mainstream exposure and with no loss of engagement.

cs.SI↗

The Conversation Turns First: Crowd Discussion and Price Reversals in Prediction Markets

Prediction markets combine trading with public discussion of the same events. We examine whether comment-derived signals predict subsequent activity, buying direction, and changes in the leading outcome. A correlation sweep across 79 non-political Polymarket markets guides six classification experiments comparing comment features, trading features, and their combinations. On live blocks containing comments, attention nearly matches trading history in predicting heavy trading within 18 hours (PR-AUC 0.786 versus 0.790, against prevalence 0.606), with its relative advantage concentrated in short markets. Comment content carries directional information: toxicity ranks future buying direction above chance in 43 of 53 scored markets, while adding attention, sentiment, and stance to flow history increases ROC-AUC from 0.780 to 0.788. Leadership changes are predicted primarily by market state. Stance shifts against the leader before reversals in 23 of 27 evaluable markets, but adds no clear improvement in individual-block forecasting. These results distinguish attention from directional support and price uncertainty. They establish predictive associations consistent with discussion and trading responding to shared information, without identifying a causal effect of comments on markets.

cs.SI↗

Deep-learning-aided dismantling of interdependent networks

Identifying the minimal set of nodes whose removal breaks a complex network apart, also referred as the network dismantling problem, is a highly non-trivial task with applications in multiple domains. Whereas network dismantling has been extensively studied over the past decade, research has primarily focused on the formulations of the optimization problem for single-layer networks, neglecting that many, if not all, real networks display multiple layers of interdependent interactions. In such networks, the optimization problem is fundamentally different as the effect of removing nodes propagates within and across layers in a way that can not be predicted using a single-layer perspective. Here, we propose a dismantling algorithm named MultiDismantler, which leverages multiplex network representation and deep reinforcement learning to optimally dismantle multi-layer interdependent networks. MultiDismantler is trained on small synthetic multiplex graphs; when applied to large, real and synthetic networks, it displays exceptional dismantling performance, clearly outperforming all existing methods that rely on a single-layer approach to network dismantling. We show that MultiDismantler is effective in guiding strategies for the containment of diseases in social networks characterized by multiple layers of social interactions. Also, we show that MultiDismantler is useful in the design of protocols aimed at delaying the onset of cascading failures in interdependent critical infrastructures.

cs.SI↗