Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2112.14416

Irreducibility of enumerable betting strategies

Abstract

We study the problem of whether a betting-strategy can be decomposed into an equivalent set of simpler betting-strategies, such as betting-strategies that bet on a restricted set of stages or bet on a restricted of favorable outcomes. We show that the class of effectively enumerable betting-strategies has irreducible members which cannot be decomposed into an equivalent set of simpler betting-strategies. We answer questions of Kastermans and Hitchcock by constructing a real on which no kastergale (which is a left-c.e. supermartingale whose favorable outcomes are effectively determined) succeeds, but some unrestricted left-c.e. supermartingale succeeds on it. We generalize a result of Muchnick by showing that there is a non-1-random real such that no muchgale (which is a left-c.e. supermartingale who does not bet on certain stages) succeeds on it. Our methodology is then used to obtain further irreducibility results, strongly supporting a conjecture that if a natural class of left-c.e. supermartingales defines 1-randomness, then a single member of that class can do so. In another word, the class of left-c.e. supermartingales cannot be reduced to a simpler, natural subclass of it. For example, we show that there is a non-1-random real such that no kastergale or muchgale succeeds on it.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

George Barmpalias, Lu Liu. 2022-03-07. Irreducibility of enumerable betting strategies. https://arxiv.org/abs/2112.14416

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Generalized Edgeworth expansions for integer-valued additive functionals of uniformly elliptic Markov chains

We obtain asymptotic expansions for probabilities $\bbP(S_N=k)$ of partial sums of uniformly bounded integer-valued functionals $\DS S_N=\sum_{n=1}^N f_n(X_n)$ of uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov chains. The expansions involve products of polynomials and trigonometric polynomials, and they hold without additional assumptions. As an application of the explicit formulas of the trigonometric polynomials, we relate existence of the standard Edgeworth expansions of order $r$ to the rate of equidistributions of $S_N$ modulo $m$ for small positive integers $m.$

math.PR

Permutations from Random Walk

Xavier and Yushi run a "random race" as follows. An atomless probability distribution $μ$ on the real line is chosen. The runners begin at zero. At time $i$ Xavier draws $\mathbf{X}_i$ from $μ$ and advances that distance, while Yushi advances by an independent drawing $\mathbf{Y}_i$. After $n$ such moves, what is the probability that Yushi led all the way? That the answer (namely, $4^{-n}\binom{2n}{n}$) is independent of $μ$ follows from a classical theorem of Darling, stating that for symmetric atomless increments, the distribution of each individual rank in the permutation obtained by ranking the partial sums is independent of the step law. We give a self-contained proof and extend the result to the permutations generated by partial sums of uniformly random signed permutations of any fixed, finite, generic set of reals. For atomless increments with mean zero and finite variance, without assuming symmetry, we show that random-walk permutations approach a random object that we call the "Wiener permuton," whose expected pattern densities equal the probabilities of the corresponding permutations generated by finite random walks with centered Laplace increments. Finally, we exhibit an infinite family of constructions whose limiting permutons interpolate between the Wiener permuton and the recursive separable permuton; each has the same intensity permuton, providing a single two-dimensional extension of the classical arcsine law for all of them.

math.PR

On the uniqueness of quasi-stationary distributions for population models with spatial structure

Subcritical population processes are attracted to extinction and do not have non-trivial stationary distributions, which prompts the study of quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) instead. In contrast to what generally happens for stationary distributions, QSDs may not be unique, even under irreducibility conditions. The general conditions for uniqueness of QSDs are not always easy to check. For the branching process, besides the quasi-limiting distribution there are many other QSDs. In this paper, we investigate whether adding little extra information to the continuous-time branching process is enough to obtain uniqueness. We consider the branching process with genealogy and branching random walks, and show that they have a unique QSD.

math.PR