Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2307.09831

A Fast and Map-Free Model for Trajectory Prediction in Traffics

Abstract

To handle the two shortcomings of existing methods, (i)nearly all models rely on high-definition (HD) maps, yet the map information is not always available in real traffic scenes and HD map-building is expensive and time-consuming and (ii) existing models usually focus on improving prediction accuracy at the expense of reducing computing efficiency, yet the efficiency is crucial for various real applications, this paper proposes an efficient trajectory prediction model that is not dependent on traffic maps. The core idea of our model is encoding single-agent's spatial-temporal information in the first stage and exploring multi-agents' spatial-temporal interactions in the second stage. By comprehensively utilizing attention mechanism, LSTM, graph convolution network and temporal transformer in the two stages, our model is able to learn rich dynamic and interaction information of all agents. Our model achieves the highest performance when comparing with existing map-free methods and also exceeds most map-based state-of-the-art methods on the Argoverse dataset. In addition, our model also exhibits a faster inference speed than the baseline methods.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Junhong Xiang, Jingmin Zhang, Zhixiong Nan. 2023-07-19. A Fast and Map-Free Model for Trajectory Prediction in Traffics. https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.09831

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Benchmarking the Limits of In-Context Reinforcement Learning for Ad-Hoc Teamwork

In-Context Reinforcement Learning (ICRL) has enabled foundation agents to adapt instantaneously to novel tasks, yet its efficacy in Ad-Hoc Teamwork (AHT)-where coordination with unknown partners is required-remains unexplored. To rigorously evaluate this, we introduce a large-scale benchmark ICRL4AHT, built upon a high-throughput JAX implementation of Overcooked-V2. Our benchmark includes a large, diverse teammate suite spanning both RL and heuristic policies, enabling controlled train-test shifts, and provides a reproducible end-to-end pipeline for teammate generation, learning-history collection, dataset construction, and online multi-episode evaluation. We evaluate representative history-conditioned ICRL algorithms, including Algorithm Distillation (AD) and Decision-Pretrained Transformer (DPT), across millions of transitions. Results reveal notable limitations: contrary to their success in single-agent domains, these baselines fail to exhibit robust test-time adaptation in multi-agent settings. Specifically, these methods frequently underperform random baselines across both unseen teammate and unseen layout tracks, with no clear in-context improvement over long horizons. These findings highlight the challenges of strategic inference under partial observability within the OvercookedV2 AHT protocol, establishing our benchmark as a critical testbed for next-generation coordination algorithms.

cs.AI↗

Planning Takes More Than Token Prediction: Causal Plan for Benchmarking and Building Physically Grounded Embodied Reasoners

Current benchmarks for embodied vision-language planning inadvertently favor linguistic next-token prediction over physically grounded next-state reasoning. This rewards models that mimic statistical language priors rather than track true causal dependencies, reducing complex physical planning to shallow sequence modeling. Hence, achieving genuine physical autonomy requires a fundamental shift from linguistically grounded token prediction toward physically grounded causal reasoning. To this end, we introduce Causal-Plan-Bench, a high-fidelity diagnostic suite spanning four causal dimensions, curated via multi-stage verification. To endow models with this capability, a four-stage annotation pipeline extracts structured interaction records from egocentric videos to construct Causal-Plan-1M, a dense million-scale corpus of explicit causal reasoning traces. Extensive evaluation reveals a striking gap: leading models struggle to demonstrate genuine physical agency -- even GPT-6-astra scores only 43.04. In contrast, our tailored training recipe enables Causal Planner to internalize the complex physical logic required for accurate next-state estimation. Built upon Qwen3-VL-8B, Causal Planner raises its backbone's score from 33.23 to 45.28, a 36.3% relative gain, and improves on three external benchmarks without benchmark-specific adaptation. We further observe an empirical Causal-Supervision Scaling Trend. Paired no-vision controls also reveal substantial visual dependence, while cross-judge comparisons and human scoring assess the reliability of automated evaluation. More importantly, we initiate the first effort to turn agents from superficial token predictors into physically grounded causal reasoners, bridging language modeling and world modeling.

cs.AI↗

Omni-Decision: Evidence-Ledger Planning for Omni-Modal Agents

Omni-modal agents must seek evidence across video, audio, web pages, and computation to answer questions. Their main bottleneck is planning: noisy multimodal observations accumulate in conversation history and disrupt later decisions, while multimodal models have limited capacity for multi-step planning. Controlled backend replacements support this diagnosis: replacing the planner causes a much larger performance loss than replacing the perception backend. We present Omni-Decision, an omni-modal agent built on evidence-ledger planning: it replaces the growing dialogue history with an explicit evidence ledger that records what evidence is still missing, what has been confirmed, and where records conflict. A critic reads each noisy observation and passes only the usable content to the ledger, discarding the rest, so the planner works from a compact context throughout the task. Each run records the state, action, and verdict at every step, and supervised fine-tuning and decision-level reinforcement learning on these trajectories further improve the planner. Omni-Decision achieves state-of-the-art accuracy of 81.4% on OmniGAIA at approximately 43% of Gemini-3.1-Pro's cost per question, and 65.0% on WorldSense long-video understanding, level with the strongest end-to-end model.

cs.AI↗