Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2503.19943

A Spatiotemporal Radar-Based Precipitation Model for Water Level Prediction and Flood Forecasting

Sakshi Dhankhar·Stefan Wittek·Hamidreza Eivazi·Andreas Rausch
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Study Region: Goslar and Göttingen, Lower Saxony, Germany. Study Focus: In July 2017, the cities of Goslar and Göttingen experienced severe flood events characterized by short warning time of only 20 minutes, resulting in extensive regional flooding and significant damage. This highlights the critical need for a more reliable and timely flood forecasting system. This paper presents a comprehensive study on the impact of radar-based precipitation data on forecasting river water levels in Goslar. Additionally, the study examines how precipitation influences water level forecasts in Göttingen. The analysis integrates radar-derived spatiotemporal precipitation patterns with hydrological sensor data obtained from ground stations to evaluate the effectiveness of this approach in improving flood prediction capabilities. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: A key innovation in this paper is the use of residual-based modeling to address the non-linearity between precipitation images and water levels, leading to a Spatiotemporal Radar-based Precipitation Model with residuals (STRPMr). Unlike traditional hydrological models, our approach does not rely on upstream data, making it independent of additional hydrological inputs. This independence enhances its adaptability and allows for broader applicability in other regions with RADOLAN precipitation. The deep learning architecture integrates (2+1)D convolutional neural networks for spatial and temporal feature extraction with LSTM for timeseries forecasting. The results demonstrate the potential of the STRPMr for capturing extreme events and more accurate flood forecasting.

Explore related subjects

eess.IVcs.AIcs.LG

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Sakshi Dhankhar, Stefan Wittek, Hamidreza Eivazi, Andreas Rausch. 2025-03-25. A Spatiotemporal Radar-Based Precipitation Model for Water Level Prediction and Flood Forecasting. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102571

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

LaminoDiff: Generative Computed Laminography via Near-Isotropic Spectral Supervision and Anisotropic Geometry

Computed Laminography (CL) is widely used for nondestructive inspection of extended planar objects, but its restricted angular coverage produces an anisotropic point spread function, missing-cone spectral incompleteness, and severe aliasing with interlayer leakage. This paper presents LaminoDiff, a physics-constrained diffusion framework for CL reconstruction. During training, a CT-derived near-isotropic supervision target is reconstructed from full-angle Computed Tomography (CT) projections physically degraded to match CL detector noise and focal-spot blur while retaining full angular coverage; it is withheld from inference. At inference, the reverse process uses only the CL observation. An Anisotropic Representation (AR) constructs depth-aware channels from three adjacent slices: a neighbor average, a center-neighbor residual, and the retained current slice, followed by directional in-plane feature extraction. Experiments on simulated and real multilayer printed circuit board data, including ball grid array and high-frequency stub samples, show that LaminoDiff improves artifact suppression, edge preservation, and depth stratification over analytic Feldkamp--Davis--Kress and representative learning-based baselines.

eess.IV↗
arXiv2026

IViT: A Novel Interpretable Visual Transformer for Skin Disease Detection

The clinical diagnosis of skin diseases is susceptible to interference from inter-class similarity of skin lesions, and over-reliance on clinicians'experience easily leads to subjective bias. Although existing deep learning aided diagnosis methods achieve competitive accuracy, they suffer from the black-box opacity of Vision Transformer (ViT) and poor adaptability to medical few-shot scenarios. Moreover, mainstream explainable algorithms generally face the bottleneck of significant accuracy degradation when improving interpretability. This paper proposes an interpretable ViT (IViT) constrained by Quadratic Programming (QP). The introduced pre-trained transfer learning adapts to few-shot feature extraction. A discrete QP feature selection framework is constructed to screen generic and discriminative features consistent with clinical diagnostic logic. A multi-objective loss function is designed to reduce feature redundancy and optimize activation distribution while preserving classification performance. Experimental results on six standard skin disease datasets show that IViT achieves an accuracy of 93.80%, only 0.21% lower than the baseline, with feature redundancy reduced by 29.5%. Its core activation regions are consistent with clinically concerned lesion areas. The proposed model balances accuracy and interpretability, providing a reliable solution for the clinical deployment of few-shot intelligent skin disease diagnosis.

eess.IV↗
arXiv2026

Automated Distinction of Intimal and Medial Intracranial Arterial Calcification from CT Head

Intracranial arterial calcifications (IACs) are a common finding on clinical non-contrast enhanced head CT scans and are associated with neurovascular disease. Calcifications can occur in the intimal or medial layer of the arterial wall, subtypes that differ in aetiology and may have distinct clinical relevance. These subtypes can be visually distinguished by radiologists based on the shape of the calcifications. We investigate three automated approaches for subtype classification of IAC from head CT-derived segmentation masks: (1) an automated adaptation of the established radiological visual score, (2) a sphericity-based method, and (3) a method based on shape embeddings extracted by a medical shape foundation model. All approaches use the same lightweight classification pipeline on top of the features they compute and are evaluated using 5-fold cross-validation. The three methods achieved comparable performance, with the embedding-based approach yielding the best overall results with a weighted F1 (mean $\pm$ SD) of up to 71.5 $\pm$ 3.7 for a single artery and 59.8 $\pm$ 1.7 for the joint artery classification. Performance was largely preserved when using automated instead of manual IAC segmentation masks, and we found the difference in weighted F1 not significant. Our results show that fully automated IAC subtype quantification from head CT is feasible and remains robust to the use of manual and automated IAC segmentation masks. Code at https://github.com/bjin96/iac-subtyping.

eess.IV↗