Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2505.11832

Patient-Specific Autoregressive Models for Organ Motion Prediction in Radiotherapy

Yuxiang Lai·Jike Zhong·Vanessa Su·Xiaofeng Yang
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Radiotherapy often involves a prolonged treatment period. During this time, patients may experience organ motion due to breathing and other physiological factors. Predicting and modeling this motion before treatment is crucial for ensuring precise radiation delivery. However, existing pre-treatment organ motion prediction methods primarily rely on deformation analysis using principal component analysis (PCA), which is highly dependent on registration quality and struggles to capture periodic temporal dynamics for motion modeling.In this paper, we observe that organ motion prediction closely resembles an autoregressive process, a technique widely used in natural language processing (NLP). Autoregressive models predict the next token based on previous inputs, naturally aligning with our objective of predicting future organ motion phases. Building on this insight, we reformulate organ motion prediction as an autoregressive process to better capture patient-specific motion patterns. Specifically, we acquire 4D CT scans for each patient before treatment, with each sequence comprising multiple 3D CT phases. These phases are fed into the autoregressive model to predict future phases based on prior phase motion patterns. We evaluate our method on a real-world test set of 4D CT scans from 50 patients who underwent radiotherapy at our institution and a public dataset containing 4D CT scans from 20 patients (some with multiple scans), totaling over 1,300 3D CT phases. The performance in predicting the motion of the lung and heart surpasses existing benchmarks, demonstrating its effectiveness in capturing motion dynamics from CT images. These results highlight the potential of our method to improve pre-treatment planning in radiotherapy, enabling more precise and adaptive radiation delivery.

Explore related subjects

eess.IVcs.CV

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Yuxiang Lai, Jike Zhong, Vanessa Su, Xiaofeng Yang. 2025-05-17. Patient-Specific Autoregressive Models for Organ Motion Prediction in Radiotherapy. https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.11832

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

LaminoDiff: Generative Computed Laminography via Near-Isotropic Spectral Supervision and Anisotropic Geometry

Computed Laminography (CL) is widely used for nondestructive inspection of extended planar objects, but its restricted angular coverage produces an anisotropic point spread function, missing-cone spectral incompleteness, and severe aliasing with interlayer leakage. This paper presents LaminoDiff, a physics-constrained diffusion framework for CL reconstruction. During training, a CT-derived near-isotropic supervision target is reconstructed from full-angle Computed Tomography (CT) projections physically degraded to match CL detector noise and focal-spot blur while retaining full angular coverage; it is withheld from inference. At inference, the reverse process uses only the CL observation. An Anisotropic Representation (AR) constructs depth-aware channels from three adjacent slices: a neighbor average, a center-neighbor residual, and the retained current slice, followed by directional in-plane feature extraction. Experiments on simulated and real multilayer printed circuit board data, including ball grid array and high-frequency stub samples, show that LaminoDiff improves artifact suppression, edge preservation, and depth stratification over analytic Feldkamp--Davis--Kress and representative learning-based baselines.

eess.IV↗
arXiv2026

IViT: A Novel Interpretable Visual Transformer for Skin Disease Detection

The clinical diagnosis of skin diseases is susceptible to interference from inter-class similarity of skin lesions, and over-reliance on clinicians'experience easily leads to subjective bias. Although existing deep learning aided diagnosis methods achieve competitive accuracy, they suffer from the black-box opacity of Vision Transformer (ViT) and poor adaptability to medical few-shot scenarios. Moreover, mainstream explainable algorithms generally face the bottleneck of significant accuracy degradation when improving interpretability. This paper proposes an interpretable ViT (IViT) constrained by Quadratic Programming (QP). The introduced pre-trained transfer learning adapts to few-shot feature extraction. A discrete QP feature selection framework is constructed to screen generic and discriminative features consistent with clinical diagnostic logic. A multi-objective loss function is designed to reduce feature redundancy and optimize activation distribution while preserving classification performance. Experimental results on six standard skin disease datasets show that IViT achieves an accuracy of 93.80%, only 0.21% lower than the baseline, with feature redundancy reduced by 29.5%. Its core activation regions are consistent with clinically concerned lesion areas. The proposed model balances accuracy and interpretability, providing a reliable solution for the clinical deployment of few-shot intelligent skin disease diagnosis.

eess.IV↗
arXiv2026

Automated Distinction of Intimal and Medial Intracranial Arterial Calcification from CT Head

Intracranial arterial calcifications (IACs) are a common finding on clinical non-contrast enhanced head CT scans and are associated with neurovascular disease. Calcifications can occur in the intimal or medial layer of the arterial wall, subtypes that differ in aetiology and may have distinct clinical relevance. These subtypes can be visually distinguished by radiologists based on the shape of the calcifications. We investigate three automated approaches for subtype classification of IAC from head CT-derived segmentation masks: (1) an automated adaptation of the established radiological visual score, (2) a sphericity-based method, and (3) a method based on shape embeddings extracted by a medical shape foundation model. All approaches use the same lightweight classification pipeline on top of the features they compute and are evaluated using 5-fold cross-validation. The three methods achieved comparable performance, with the embedding-based approach yielding the best overall results with a weighted F1 (mean $\pm$ SD) of up to 71.5 $\pm$ 3.7 for a single artery and 59.8 $\pm$ 1.7 for the joint artery classification. Performance was largely preserved when using automated instead of manual IAC segmentation masks, and we found the difference in weighted F1 not significant. Our results show that fully automated IAC subtype quantification from head CT is feasible and remains robust to the use of manual and automated IAC segmentation masks. Code at https://github.com/bjin96/iac-subtyping.

eess.IV↗