Economic and Policy Uncertainties and Firm Value: The Case of Consumer Durable Goods

Bahram Adrangi; Saman Hatamerad; Madhuparna Kolay; Kambiz Raffiee

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arXiv · 2506.07476

Economic and Policy Uncertainties and Firm Value: The Case of Consumer Durable Goods

Bahram Adrangi·Saman Hatamerad·Madhuparna Kolay·Kambiz Raffiee

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Abstract

The objective of this study is to analyze the response of firm value, represented by the Tobin's Q (Q) for a group of twelve U.S. durable goods producers to uncertainties in the US Economy. The results, based on an estimated panel quantile regressions (PQR) and panel vector autoregressive MIDAS model (PVM), show that Q for these firms reacts negatively to the positive shocks to the current ratio, and debt-to-asset ratio and positively to operating income after depreciation and the quick ratio in most quantiles. The Q of the firms under study reacts negatively to the economic policy uncertainty, risk of recession, and inflationary expectation, but positively to consumer confidence in most quantiles of its distribution. Finally, Granger causality tests confirm that the uncertainty indicators considered in the study are significant predictors of changes in the value of these companies as reflected by Q.

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Bahram Adrangi, Saman Hatamerad, Madhuparna Kolay, Kambiz Raffiee. 2025-06-09. Economic and Policy Uncertainties and Firm Value: The Case of Consumer Durable Goods. https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.07476

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