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arXiv · 2507.05150

Effects of Unplanned Incoming Flights on Airport Relief Processes after a Major Natural Disaster

Luka Van de Sype·Matthieu Vert·Alexei Sharpanskykh·Seyed Sahand Mohammadi Ziabari
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Abstract

The severity of natural disasters is increasing every year, impacting many people's lives. During the response phase of disasters, airports are important hubs where relief aid arrives and people need to be evacuated. However, the airport often forms a bottleneck in these relief operations due to the sudden need for increased capacity. Limited research has been done on the operational side of airport disaster management. Experts identify the main problems as, first, the asymmetry of information between the airport and incoming flights, and second, the lack of resources. The goal of this research is to understand the effects of incomplete knowledge of incoming flights with different resource allocation strategies on the performance of cargo handling operations at an airport after a natural disaster. An agent-based model is created, implementing realistic offloading strategies with different degrees of information uncertainty. Model calibration and verification are performed with experts in the field. The model performance is measured by the average turnaround time, which is divided into offloading time, boarding time, and cumulative waiting times. The results show that the effects of one unplanned aircraft are negligible. However, all waiting times increase with more arriving unplanned aircraft.

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Luka Van de Sype, Matthieu Vert, Alexei Sharpanskykh, Seyed Sahand Mohammadi Ziabari. 2025-07-07. Effects of Unplanned Incoming Flights on Airport Relief Processes after a Major Natural Disaster. https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.05150

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