Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2507.12220

Data Synchronization at High Frequencies

Abstract

Asynchronous trading in high-frequency financial markets introduces significant biases into econometric analysis, distorting risk estimates and leading to suboptimal portfolio decisions. Existing synchronization methods, such as the previous-tick approach, suffer from information loss and create artificial price staleness. We introduce a novel framework that recasts the data synchronization challenge as a constrained matrix completion problem. Our approach recovers the potential matrix of high-frequency price increments by minimizing its nuclear norm -- capturing the underlying low-rank factor structure -- subject to a large-scale linear system derived from observed, asynchronous price changes. Theoretically, we prove the existence and uniqueness of our estimator and establish its convergence rate. A key theoretical insight is that our method accurately and robustly leverages information from both frequently and infrequently traded assets, overcoming a critical difficulty of efficiency loss in traditional methods. Empirically, using extensive simulations and a large panel of S&P 500 stocks, we demonstrate that our method substantially outperforms established benchmarks. It not only achieves significantly lower synchronization errors, but also corrects the bias in systematic risk estimates (i.e., eigenvalues) and the estimate of betas caused by stale prices. Crucially, portfolios constructed using our synchronized data yield consistently and economically significant higher out-of-sample Sharpe ratios. Our framework provides a powerful tool for uncovering the true dynamics of asset prices, with direct implications for high-frequency risk management, algorithmic trading, and econometric inference.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Xinbing Kong, Cheng Liu, Bin Wu. 2025-07-16. Data Synchronization at High Frequencies. https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.12220

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Evidence Aggregation for Treatment Choice

Consider a planner who has limited knowledge of the policy's causal impact on a certain local population of interest due to a lack of data, but does have access to the publicized intervention studies performed for similar policies on different populations. How should the planner make use of and aggregate this existing evidence to make her policy decision? Following Manski (2020; Towards Credible Patient-Centered Meta-Analysis, \textit{Epidemiology}), we formulate the planner's problem as a statistical decision problem with a social welfare objective, and solve for an optimal aggregation rule under the minimax-regret criterion. We investigate the analytical properties, computational feasibility, and welfare regret performance of this rule. We apply the minimax regret decision rule to decide whether to enact an active labor market policy based on 14 randomized control trial studies.

econ.EM

Beta-Sorted Portfolios

Beta-sorted portfolios---portfolios comprised of assets with similar covariation with selected risk factors---are a popular tool in empirical finance to analyze models of (conditional) expected returns. Despite their widespread use, little is known of their econometric properties in contrast to comparable procedures such as two-pass regressions. We formally investigate the properties of beta-sorted portfolio returns by casting the procedure as a two-step nonparametric estimator with a nonparametric first step and a beta-adaptive portfolio construction. Our framework rationalizes the well-known estimation algorithm with precise economic and statistical assumptions on the general data-generating process. We provide conditions which ensure valid estimation and inference allowing for a range of hypotheses of interest in financial applications. We show that the rate of convergence of the estimator changes depending on the value of beta. We demonstrate that valid inference depends critically on the object of interest and discuss drawbacks of the widely used Fama-MacBeth variance estimator. To address these limitations, we propose a new variance estimator. We demonstrate the usefulness of our theoretical results in two empirical applications, including one in which we introduce a novel risk factor that captures the business credit cycle and show that it predicts both the cross-sectional and time-series behavior of U.S. stock returns.

econ.EM

Difference-in-Differences with Unpoolable Data

Difference-in-differences (DID) is commonly used to estimate treatment effects but is infeasible in settings where data are unpoolable due to privacy concerns or legal restrictions on data sharing, particularly across jurisdictions. In this study, we identify and relax the assumption of data poolability in DID estimation. We propose an innovative approach to estimate DID with unpoolable data (UN-DID) which can accommodate covariates, multiple groups, and staggered adoption. Through analytical proofs and Monte Carlo simulations, we show that UN-DID and conventional DID estimates of the average treatment effect and standard errors are equal and unbiased in settings without covariates. With covariates, both methods produce estimates that are unbiased, equivalent, and converge to the true value. The estimates differ slightly but the statistical inference and substantive conclusions remain the same. Two empirical examples with real-world data further underscore UN-DID's utility. The UN-DID method allows the estimation of cross-jurisdictional treatment effects with unpoolable data, enabling better counterfactuals to be used and new research questions to be answered.

econ.EM