Validation of a CT-brain analysis tool for measuring global cortical atrophy in older patient cohorts

Sukhdeep Bal; Emma Colbourne; Jasmine Gan; Ludovica Griffanti; Taylor Hanayik; Nele Demeyere; Jim Davies; Sarah T Pendlebury; Mark Jenkinson

arXiv · 2509.08012

Validation of a CT-brain analysis tool for measuring global cortical atrophy in older patient cohorts

Sukhdeep Bal·Emma Colbourne·Jasmine Gan·Ludovica Griffanti·Taylor Hanayik·Nele Demeyere·Jim Davies·Sarah T Pendlebury·Mark Jenkinson

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Abstract

Quantification of brain atrophy currently requires visual rating scales which are time consuming and automated brain image analysis is warranted. We validated our automated deep learning (DL) tool measuring the Global Cerebral Atrophy (GCA) score against trained human raters, and associations with age and cognitive impairment, in representative older (>65 years) patients. CT-brain scans were obtained from patients in acute medicine (ORCHARD-EPR), acute stroke (OCS studies) and a legacy sample. Scans were divided in a 60/20/20 ratio for training, optimisation and testing. CT-images were assessed by two trained raters (rater-1=864 scans, rater-2=20 scans). Agreement between DL tool-predicted GCA scores (range 0-39) and the visual ratings was evaluated using mean absolute error (MAE) and Cohen's weighted kappa. Among 864 scans (ORCHARD-EPR=578, OCS=200, legacy scans=86), MAE between the DL tool and rater-1 GCA scores was 3.2 overall, 3.1 for ORCHARD-EPR, 3.3 for OCS and 2.6 for the legacy scans and half had DL-predicted GCA error between -2 and 2. Inter-rater agreement was Kappa=0.45 between the DL-tool and rater-1, and 0.41 between the tool and rater- 2 whereas it was lower at 0.28 for rater-1 and rater-2. There was no difference in GCA scores from the DL-tool and the two raters (one-way ANOVA, p=0.35) or in mean GCA scores between the DL-tool and rater-1 (paired t-test, t=-0.43, p=0.66), the tool and rater-2 (t=1.35, p=0.18) or between rater-1 and rater-2 (t=0.99, p=0.32). DL-tool GCA scores correlated with age and cognitive scores (both p<0.001). Our DL CT-brain analysis tool measured GCA score accurately and without user input in real-world scans acquired from older patients. Our tool will enable extraction of standardised quantitative measures of atrophy at scale for use in health data research and will act as proof-of-concept towards a point-of-care clinically approved tool.

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Sukhdeep Bal, Emma Colbourne, Jasmine Gan, Ludovica Griffanti, Taylor Hanayik, Nele Demeyere, Jim Davies, Sarah T Pendlebury, Mark Jenkinson. 2025-09-08. Validation of a CT-brain analysis tool for measuring global cortical atrophy in older patient cohorts. https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.08012

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