PiXTime: A Model for Federated Time Series Forecasting with Heterogeneous Data across Nodes

Abstract

While collaborative forecasting on distributed time series is highly desirable, directly pooling localized datasets is often impractical due to data sharing constraints. Federated learning offers a promising alternative, yet conventional federated learning algorithms require homogeneous model architectures, which are incompatible with the structural discrepancies, such as unaligned temporal resolutions and mismatched variable channels, commonly observed across decentralized nodes. To bridge this gap, we introduce PiXTime, a novel Transformer-based framework designed to natively accommodate and leverage structurally heterogeneous temporal data. At its core, PiXTime adopts a parameter-decoupling architecture, strategically partitioning the model into localized personalized modules and a globally aggregated shared backbone. Specifically, node-specific local modules act as dimensional adapters, projecting raw sequences of diverse lengths into a unified representation space. Concurrently, a globally synchronized VE Table injects consistent categorical identities into the feature space, allowing the shared backbone to collaboratively learn and generalize representations across inconsistent variable distributions. Comprehensive evaluations on multiple benchmarks demonstrate that PiXTime achieves state-of-the-art performance in heterogeneous federated environments, while maintaining robust superiority in standard homogeneous and centralized forecasting settings.