Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2605.19826

Explainable Wastewater Digital Twins: Adaptive Context-Conditioned Structured Simulators with Self-Falsifying Decision Support

Gary Simethy·Daniel Ortiz Arroyo·Petar Durdevic
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Operators of safety-critical industrial processes increasingly rely on digital twins to screen control interventions, but such simulators rarely carry certified safety guarantees. Wastewater treatment plants exemplify the gap: operators face a daily safety-efficiency trade-off where aerating too little risks effluent violations and nitrous-oxide (N2O) spikes, and aerating too much wastes energy. We develop an explainable digital twin for aeration and dosing setpoints. CCSS-IX, the simulator, is a bank of interpretable locally linear state-space "experts" adaptively mixed by a context-aware gating network, building on a continuous-time regime-switching scaffold. A runtime decision layer applies conformal risk control to abstain, reopen, or return a falsifying temporal witness for any operator-proposed action that cannot be statistically certified. The artificial-intelligence contribution is twofold: an identifiable, context-conditioned structured surrogate that retains operator-readable dynamics, and a self-falsifying decision rule with finite-sample coverage guarantees. The engineering contribution is a validated, end-to-end decision-support pipeline, tested on a 1000-step slice of the Avedøre full-scale plant (42.6% sensor missingness, 2-minute sampling), the Agtrup/BlueKolding full-scale plant in Denmark, and the Benchmark Simulation Model No. 2 (BSM2) international benchmark, under a matched ten-seed protocol. The static structured ensemble lies within 0.78% root-mean-square error of an unconstrained black-box reference, and the adaptive variant within 1.08%. The calibrated reopen rule cuts aggregate two-plant regret by 43.6% at an unsafe-action cost weight of 4 and eliminates unsafe chosen actions on the BSM2 main slice. Event-aligned temporal witnesses prevent 93 of 187 false-safe N2O approvals, about 4.65x the dyadic baseline (paired McNemar p < 1e-21).

Explore related subjects

cs.AI

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Gary Simethy, Daniel Ortiz Arroyo, Petar Durdevic. 2026-05-19. Explainable Wastewater Digital Twins: Adaptive Context-Conditioned Structured Simulators with Self-Falsifying Decision Support. https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.19826

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Collab-Solver: Collaborative Solving Policy Learning for Mixed-Integer Linear Programming

Mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) has been a fundamental problem in combinatorial optimization. Conventional MILP solving mainly relies on carefully designed heuristics embedded in the branch-and-bound framework. Driven by the strong capabilities of neural networks, recent research is exploring the value of machine learning alongside conventional MILP solving. Although learning-based MILP methods have shown great promise, existing works typically learn policies for individual modules in MILP solvers in isolation, without considering their interdependence, which limits both solving efficiency and solution quality. To address this limitation, we propose Collab-Solver, a novel multi-agent-based policy learning framework for MILP that enables collaborative policy optimization for multiple modules. Specifically, we formulate the collaboration between cut selection and branching in MILP solving as a Stackelberg game. Under this formulation, we develop a two-phase learning paradigm to stabilize collaborative policy learning: the first phase performs data-communicated policy pretraining, and the second phase further orchestrates the policy learning for various modules. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and large-scale real-world MILP datasets demonstrate that the jointly learned policies significantly improve solving performance. Moreover, the policies learned by Collab-Solver have also demonstrated excellent generalization abilities across different instance sets.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

Fact Grounded Attention: Eliminating Hallucination in Large Language Models Through Attention Level Knowledge Integration

"The greatest enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it is the illusion of knowledge." Large Language Models have conquered natural language but remain prisoners of their own probabilistic nature--confidently hallucinating facts they never truly knew. We present Fact Grounded Attention (FGA), a novel architectural modification that transforms unreliable language models into deterministic truth tellers by injecting verifiable knowledge directly into the attention mechanism. Unlike existing approaches that patch hallucinations after generation or prepend retrieved text, FGA intervenes at the mathematical heart of the transformer--the pre-softmax attention scores--creating a model that cannot hallucinate when facts exist in its knowledge base. Our experiments across 1,107 technical queries spanning smartphones, laptops, and electric vehicles demonstrate a transformation from 6.3% accuracy in vanilla Llama 3.2 to 99.7% accuracy with FGA. More critically, knowledge updates occur in under one second without retraining, compared to hours for parameter editing approaches. FGA doesn't just reduce hallucination--it eliminates it entirely for verifiable facts, marking a fundamental shift from probabilistic approximation to deterministic precision in neural language generation.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2026

MemeLens: Multilingual Multitask VLMs for Memes

Memes are a dominant medium for online communication and manipulation because meaning emerges from interactions between embedded text, imagery, and cultural context. Existing meme research is distributed across tasks (e.g., \textit{hate, misogyny, propaganda, sentiment, humour}) and languages, which limits cross-domain generalization. To address this gap, we propose \textsc{MemeLens}, a unified multilingual, multitask explanation-enhanced Vision-Language Model (VLM) for meme understanding. We consolidate $38$ public meme datasets, filter and map dataset-specific labels into a shared taxonomy of $20$ tasks spanning harm, targets, figurative/pragmatic intent, and affect. We present a comprehensive empirical analysis across modeling paradigms, task categories, and datasets. Our findings suggest that robust meme understanding requires multimodal training, varies substantially across semantic categories, and remains sensitive to over-specialization when models are fine-tuned on individual datasets rather than trained in a unified setting. We make the experimental resources (https://github.com/MohamedBayan/MemeLens), model (https://huggingface.co/QCRI/MemeLens-VLM) and datasets (https://huggingface.co/datasets/QCRI/MemeLens) publicly available to the community.

cs.AI↗