How reproducible are first-principles simulations of liquid water?

Abstract

Liquid water is fundamentally important, and its accurate computer simulation has been the driving force for myriad methodological developments. Ab initio molecular dynamics with forces obtained from density functional theory (DFT) is now a standard tool widely used by researchers. However, we reveal that previous studies of liquid water using the same widely-used density functional (revPBE-D3) exhibit significant discrepancies with one another, varying by over 20% in the diffusion coefficient and 10% in the density, raising fundamental questions about reproducibility. By combining modern long-range machine-learning interatomic potentials that enable robust statistical sampling with carefully converged DFT training data, we resolve these discrepancies, achieving consensus across six diverse community codes. Our predictions differ markedly from previous literature: we show that most previous results overestimate the density and underestimate the diffusion coefficient of revPBE-D3 water due to basis set incompleteness and pseudopotential inconsistencies, coupled with limitations in statistical sampling (in some cases). These benchmark values provide a reliable reference for validating current and future implementations of DFT-based ab initio molecular dynamics. Reaching agreement establishes confidence and credibility and serves as a prerequisite for the systematic assessment of new density functionals and numerical approximations.