Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2609.39626

Parameterization method of reservoir properties for ensemble-based data assimilation using intermediate latent space of StyleGAN

Abstract

Ensemble smoothers are the most successful and efficient techniques currently available for history matching. However, because these methods rely on Gaussian assumptions, their performance is severely degraded when the prior geology is described in terms of complex facies distributions (non-Gaussian). In this way, for these methods, we need to apply efficient parameterization techniques. Currently, the most efficient methods for performing parameterization are deep learning models. However, given the variety of existing deep learning models, studies have not identified which is most suitable for use with ensemble-based methods, although some important models had already been evaluated. Based on a recent literature review, the most promising models selected were VAE-GAN, Latent Diffusion, and StyleGAN models. As a novel aspect of this work, data assimilation with the second generation of StyleGAN (StyleGAN2) model was performed using the latent z-space and intermediate w-space, separately. They were applied in two 2D case studies: one categorical (three facies) and the other continuous. The results demonstrated that all three models are highly efficient, with the StyleGAN2 model standing out for generating samples with geological realism and achieving excellent data matching in the cases studied. Our findings show that performing data assimilation with StyleGAN2 using the intermediate space (w-space) yielded better results than the traditional application in the latent space (z-space). This is due to the fact that ESMDA uses linear updates and the w-space is much more linear and disentangled than the highly entangled z-space, thereby ensuring that the updated vectors remain close to realistic geological patterns. These results were validated using main geostatistical and history matching metrics.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Marcio A. Sampaio, Paulo H. Ranazzi, Martin J. Blunt. 2026-09-30. Parameterization method of reservoir properties for ensemble-based data assimilation using intermediate latent space of StyleGAN. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.39626

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Are EEG Sequences Time Series? EEG Classification with Time Series Models and Joint Subject Training

As with most other data domains, EEG data analysis relies on rich domain-specific preprocessing. Beyond such preprocessing, machine learners would hope to deal with such data as with any other time series data. For EEG classification many models have been developed with layer types and architectures we typically do not see in time series classification. Furthermore, typically separate models for each individual subject are learned, not one model for all of them. In this paper, we systematically study the differences between EEG classification models and generic time series classification models. We describe three different model setups to deal with EEG data from different subjects, subject-specific models (most EEG literature), subject-agnostic models and subject-conditional models. In experiments on three datasets, we demonstrate that off-the-shelf time series classification models trained per subject perform close to EEG classification models, but that do not quite reach the performance of domain-specific modeling. Additionally, we combine time-series models with subject embeddings to train one joint subject-conditional classifier on all subjects. The resulting models are competitive with dedicated EEG models in 2 out of 3 datasets, even outperforming all EEG methods on one of them.

cs.LG↗

The Fenchel-Young Generalization of Bayesian Principles

Conjugate Bayes plays a key role in machine learning, ensuring computationally simple posterior updates. We generalize the variational principle behind this computation by using the Fenchel-Young (FY) inequality, which lets us define a generalized evidence lower bound beyond the KL geometry, and at equality, characterizes new generalized posteriors. A generalized notion of conjugacy follows, defined as closure of prior-potential families that are affine under translation by the loss. We show that such families not only preserve additive canonical updating, but also posterior inference with parameter-dependent supports and tuneably heavy tails. This combination is not feasible with standard conjugate Bayes. We derive a new FY generalization of expectation maximization (EM), which recovers classical and Hard EM, and amortized versions. We show examples, including generalized Bayesian linear regression with closed-form bounded support and heavy-tailed posteriors, and a Gaussian mixture with sparse cluster assignments.

cs.LG↗

Fragility-aware Classification for Risk Characterization and Robust Learning

Classification models play a central role in data-driven decision-making applications such as medical diagnosis, recommendation systems, and risk assessment. Traditional performance metrics, such as accuracy and AUC, quantify classification errors and pairwise ranking performance but do not account for the magnitude of errors, i.e., the risk of confident misjudgments. This limitation is particularly consequential in safety-critical and cost-sensitive settings, where overconfident errors can lead to severe outcomes. To address this issue, we propose the Fragility Index (FI), a novel performance metric that evaluates classifiers from a risk-averse perspective by capturing the tail risk of confident misjudgments. We formulate FI within a robust satisficing (RS) framework to quantify classifier sensitivity under distributional uncertainty. Building on this, we develop a tractable surrogate-based training framework and establish provable bounds connecting training fragility to ranking-error FI. We further derive tractable reformulations for a broad class of loss functions, including cross-entropy, hinge-type, and Lipschitz losses, and identify specific conditions under which these reformulations are exact. We also introduce an FI-induced regularizer for deep neural networks. Empirical results on real-world medical diagnosis tasks demonstrate that FI complements existing metrics by revealing error tail risk not reflected in accuracy or AUC. FI-based models achieve competitive predictive performance while generally attaining lower FI. In the simulated human--AI diagnostic workflow, they also achieve lower average operational costs than empirical risk minimization.

cs.LG↗