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arXiv · 2609.40013

Duration-Aware Ramp Adequacy Screening

Qian Zhang·Aidan Looney·Chao Tian·Xu Andy Sun·Le Xie
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Abstract

Ramp products are widely used in regional electricity markets to procure intertemporal flexibility in anticipation of net demand changes. However, the design of such ramp products often lacks a clear specification of ramping duration, potentially leading to infeasible dispatch solutions. This paper develops a duration-aware ramp adequacy screening method that evaluates whether the currently committed and dispatched fleet can meet the anticipated net-demand ramp requirement across different durations. A negative ramp adequacy margin identifies an insufficient-duration set in which the fleet lacks adequate ramp capability. Evaluating this margin across duration supports product-duration selection, while tracking it over time provides a metric for assessing ramp adequacy under different products and dispatch policies. We further formulate rolling-window ramp-reserve procurement with horizon-dependent forecast uncertainty and show that a product can affect ramp capability beyond its designated duration through changes in dispatch positioning. Building on this framework, we develop a forecast-free ramp-reserve scarcity dispatch policy that prioritizes resources according to their remaining ramp-up durations and, in the transmission-unconstrained setting, achieves the same minimum operational security loss as a perfect-foresight benchmark. Studies on a 10-generator system and a 2751-bus synthetic Texas grid demonstrate the value of the proposed framework for early detection of ramp scarcity, product design and evaluation, and screening-guided emergency dispatch.

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Qian Zhang, Aidan Looney, Chao Tian, Xu Andy Sun, Le Xie. 2026-09-30. Duration-Aware Ramp Adequacy Screening. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.40013

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