Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2610.38487

Simultaneous Gradient Learning in First-Price Auctions

Abstract

We study equilibrium learning in discretized Bayesian games, focusing on first-price auctions as a testbed for gradient-based learning dynamics under private information. While the symmetric independent private values model admits a unique Bayesian correlated equilibrium (BCE) in the continuous limit, standard convergence guarantees for gradient-based learners do not apply: classical no-regret theory predicts convergence only to Bayesian coarse correlated equilibria (BCCE), which can remain large and far from the competitive equilibrium even under fine discretizations. To bridge this gap, we introduce the notion of Bayesian semicoarse correlated equilibrium (BSCCE), an equilibrium concept that refines BCCE by restricting deviations to probability-preserving transformations consistent with projected gradient dynamics. We provide a linear programming characterization of BSCCE with polynomially many variables and constraints and establish the inclusion hierarchy $BCE \subseteq BSCCE \subseteq BCCE$. Our main finding is that the BSCCE set contracts in many cases as the discretization of the Bayesian game is refined. Even with priors for which BCCE fails to concentrate, the diameter of the BSCCE polytope shrinks toward zero, indicating convergence to the unique continuous-game Bayes-Nash equilibrium. These results provide a principled explanation for the observed robustness of gradient-based learning in discretized Bayesian games, showing that these dynamics select a smaller equilibrium set than standard no-regret theory predicts.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Janik Bürgermeister, Julius Durmann, Martin Bichler, Mete Şeref Ahunbay, Bary Pradelski, Marco Scarsini. 2026-10-28. Simultaneous Gradient Learning in First-Price Auctions. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.38487

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Multidimensional Online Resource Allocation for Large Language Model Services under Nonstationary Demand

We study multidimensional online generalized assignment under nonstationary arrivals, motivated by resource allocation for large language model agent services. Providers may commit model and tool allowances to agent tasks upon admission, reserving budgets for their internal execution loops. Each request is rejected or accepted with an irrevocable assignment to one compatible server, earning reward and consuming a vector of its nonreplenishing budgets. Arrivals are independent with known, potentially time-varying type distributions. Scalar reductions can discard feasible combinations of requests with complementary resource requirements. To maximize expected reward, we develop Vector-Aware Best-Fit, which combines linear-programming-guided candidate routing with calibrated acceptance while retaining vector feasibility. Relative to the expected clairvoyant offline optimum, its guarantee improves on scalar reduction in the multidimensional case and has the best possible inverse-dimensional order. With an appropriate acceptance parameter, the proposed policy attains the optimal competitive ratio on all-heavy instances, where every feasible assignment consumes more than half of at least one resource budget. We further develop two heuristics that retain its performance guarantee. Computational results show that the heuristics perform well against benchmarks in most tested settings, especially when capacity is scarce relative to demand.

cs.GT↗

From signaling to interviews in random matching markets

In two-sided labor markets, interviews precede matches. Rising interview volumes in medical residency markets have motivated signaling mechanisms that let applicants express interest in a limited number of partners. We study how signaling reduces interviews in centralized random matching markets with post-interview shocks. We focus on interim stability, which ensures that agents do not regret not interviewing with each other. A matching is almost interim stable if it becomes interim stable after removing a vanishing fraction of agents. We consider markets with $n$ agents in which agents on the short side, long side, or both sides signal their top $d$ preferred partners. An interview occurs whenever at least one party signals the other. When the probability of a nonnegative interview shock is bounded away from zero and $d=ω(1)$, short-side signaling leads to almost interim stable matchings. Long-side signaling can fail in strongly imbalanced markets when pre-interview scores outweigh interview shocks. In balanced markets without interview shocks, both-side signaling fails to achieve almost interim stability when $d=o(\log n)$. For larger $d \ge Ω(\log^2 n)$, under the same probability condition, short-side signaling achieves perfect interim stability, while long-side signaling can fail in imbalanced markets. We extend these findings to propose a signaling mechanism for multi-tiered random markets and identify conditions for incentive compatibility. A technical contribution is the analysis of a message-passing algorithm for stable matchings on trees, together with local availability certificates used to study interim stability on general graphs.

cs.GT↗

Equilibria in routing games with connected autonomous vehicles may not be strong, as exclusive clubs may form

User Equilibrium (UE) is the standard representation of the so-called routing game in which drivers adjust their route choices to arrive at their destinations as fast as possible. Asking whether UE is strong has, so far, been meaningless for human drivers, who do not form coalitions because of technical and behavioral constraints. Here, we demonstrate that this will not necessarily hold for Connected Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs), which can communicate and collaborate to form routing coalitions by exploiting adaptive signal control. Within game-theoretical formulations of Nash Equilibria, we provide a methodological framework and report the novel phenomena through a carefully designed toy-network example, in which we identify so-called \emph{clubs} emerging in different CAV penetration rates and adaptive traffic-light configurations. We detail one such club where three CAVs deviate from the UE and benefit (arrive faster). The formation of such a club has negative consequences for other users (who are not invited to join and must now travel longer) and for the system (making it suboptimal and disequilibrated), thereby triggering adaptation dynamics. These findings raise questions about equity in future mixed-autonomy traffic systems.

cs.GT↗