On Zeros and Algorithms for Disordered Systems II: The Antiferromagnetic Ising Model up to Kesten-Stigum

Abstract

We give the first polynomial-time algorithm to estimate the partition function of the antiferromagnetic Ising model on the uniformly random $d$-regular graph to arbitrarily high accuracy for all inverse temperatures up to the Kesten-Stigum threshold. This is the entire regime in which the model is "replica symmetric," and is conjectured to be optimal for polynomial-time counting and sampling. To achieve our algorithmic result, we establish the absence of Fisher zeros for the partition function in a constant-width strip around the interval from $0$ up to the Kesten-Stigum threshold, with high probability over the randomness of the input graph. AI Disclosure: The overarching vision and proof architecture were developed solely by the authors without AI input. GPT 5.5 Pro was used, with extensive guidance from the authors, for only a few minor technical aspects of the proof. The authors independently verified correctness and wrote everything by hand. We take full responsibility for its contents. A more detailed statement can be found in Section 1.2.