Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · cond-mat/0108023

A Random Matrix Approach to Cross-Correlations in Financial Data

Abstract

We analyze cross-correlations between price fluctuations of different stocks using methods of random matrix theory (RMT). Using two large databases, we calculate cross-correlation matrices C of returns constructed from (i) 30-min returns of 1000 US stocks for the 2-yr period 1994--95 (ii) 30-min returns of 881 US stocks for the 2-yr period 1996--97, and (iii) 1-day returns of 422 US stocks for the 35-yr period 1962--96. We test the statistics of the eigenvalues $λ_i$ of C against a ``null hypothesis'' --- a random correlation matrix constructed from mutually uncorrelated time series. We find that a majority of the eigenvalues of C fall within the RMT bounds $[λ_-, λ_+]$ for the eigenvalues of random correlation matrices. We test the eigenvalues of C within the RMT bound for universal properties of random matrices and find good agreement with the results for the Gaussian orthogonal ensemble of random matrices --- implying a large degree of randomness in the measured cross-correlation coefficients. Further, we find that the distribution of eigenvector components for the eigenvectors corresponding to the eigenvalues outside the RMT bound display systematic deviations from the RMT prediction. In addition, we find that these ``deviating eigenvectors'' are stable in time. We analyze the components of the deviating eigenvectors and find that the largest eigenvalue corresponds to an influence common to all stocks. Our analysis of the remaining deviating eigenvectors shows distinct groups, whose identities correspond to conventionally-identified business sectors. Finally, we discuss applications to the construction of portfolios of stocks that have a stable ratio of risk to return.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

V. Plerou, P. Gopikrishnan, B. Rosenow, L. A. N. Amaral, T. Guhr, H. E. Stanley. 2001-08-01. A Random Matrix Approach to Cross-Correlations in Financial Data. https://doi.org/10.1103/physreve.65.066126

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

A General Solution for Network Models with Pairwise Edge Coupling

Network Models with couplings between link pairs are the simplest models for a class of networks with Higher Order interactions. In this paper we give an analytic, general solution to this family of Random Graph Models extending previous results obtained for specific interaction structures. We use the Hubbard-Stratonovich transform to show that such higher order models can be decoupled into families of effectively separable random graph models, which might be enhanced with auxiliary, possibly multi-valued, parameters identifying the thermodynamical phase of the system. Moreover, given the diagonalizability of couplings between links, we carry out the full computation of the partition functions and discuss why in some cases they can effectively reduce to the one for the Mean-Field case.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

Dynamic Eikonal Attenuation and Mutual Coherence of Quantum Particles due to Equilibrium Coulomb Fluctuations

We develop a dynamic theory of eikonal attenuation and mutual coherence for a quantum particle propagating through equilibrium Coulomb fluctuations. The one-particle length $\ell$ is the attenuation length of the ensemble-averaged retarded propagator, not an Anderson localization length or a transport mean free path. For a collisionless classical one-component plasma (OCP), the potential spectrum follows from the fluctuation--dissipation theorem and the RPA dielectric function. In suitable plasma parameter windows, both fast and slow probe regimes are physically meaningful. Fast probes recover the Coulomb logarithm with the dynamical infrared length $v/ω_{\rm p}$. Slow probes yield $G(v)\propto v$ and, in the controlled weak branch, $\ell\propto k$. We derive an exact finite-thickness mutual-coherence expression and a closed slow-regime transverse scaling function. Within the controlled slow-OCP and thick-slab window, the logarithmic two-ray visibility scales as $v^{-1}$ at fixed transverse separation, in contrast to the $v^{-2}$ dependence for frozen finite-slab fluctuations. For a symmetric diffusive electrolyte, linearized stochastic density functional theory gives the exact on-shell result $G_{\rm el}(v)=(m^2C/\hbar^4)\operatorname{arsinh}[v/(2Dκ)]$, where $C=k_{\mathrm B}Tq_0^2/(4π\varepsilon_b)$. For ordinary liquid electrolytes, the slow diffusive limit is inaccessible within the spatial eikonal regime and is therefore a formal asymptote. The physically relevant electrolyte limit is instead that of a fast probe, $v\gg Dκ$, where the diffusive charge relaxation generates an intrinsic infrared length $v/(Dκ^2)$ absent from the quasi-static theory.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

Planckian dissipation from classical hydrodynamics

Hydrodynamics describes the long-time, long-distance dynamics of interacting quantum systems by classical equations, yet at low temperature quantum fluctuations might eventually invalidate this classical picture. Here we ask what it takes for a quantum system to sustain a consistently classical hydrodynamic description. Our starting point is the quantum fluctuation-dissipation theorem which, when read in the time domain, acts as a blurring of the fine details of correlation functions on a Planckian time-scale. We analyse how this blurring interacts with the diffusive large-deviation form of correlators assuming the existence of a hydrodynamic light cone velocity, and show that the interior of the cone splits into a classical region, where correlation and response satisfy the classical fluctuation-dissipation relation, and a quantum region, where they deviate sharply from it. We illustrate the mechanism on three phenomenological hydrodynamic equations - diffusion, telegraph and diffusive-telegraph. Preserving a finite classical region as the temperature is lowered forces the current relaxation rate to be bounded from above by the Planckian rate. This bound connects to bounds on diffusivity, equilibration time and shear viscosity. In this way, a Planckian bound on dissipation emerges not as a quantum constraint on microscopic dynamics, but as the price a system pays to remain describable by classical hydrodynamics down to low temperatures.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗