Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · cs/9809108

Learning Nested Agent Models in an Information Economy

Jose M. Vidal·Edmund H. Durfee
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

We present our approach to the problem of how an agent, within an economic Multi-Agent System, can determine when it should behave strategically (i.e. learn and use models of other agents), and when it should act as a simple price-taker. We provide a framework for the incremental implementation of modeling capabilities in agents, and a description of the forms of knowledge required. The agents were implemented and different populations simulated in order to learn more about their behavior and the merits of using and learning agent models. Our results show, among other lessons, how savvy buyers can avoid being ``cheated'' by sellers, how price volatility can be used to quantitatively predict the benefits of deeper models, and how specific types of agent populations influence system behavior.

Explore related subjects

cs.MAcs.AI

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Jose M. Vidal, Edmund H. Durfee. 1998-09-26. Learning Nested Agent Models in an Information Economy. https://arxiv.org/abs/cs/9809108

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

CONCAT: Consensus- and Confidence-Driven Ad Hoc Teaming for Efficient LLM-Based Multi-Agent Systems

Although large language model (LLM) based multi-agent systems (MAS) show their capability to solve complex tasks and achieve higher performance over single agent systems, they lead to huge computational overheads because of heavy communication between agents. Previous research has made efforts to train a sparse multi-agent graph or fine-tune a planner to orchestrate the workflow better. However, such extra training processes introduce computational costs and limit MAS to specific domains, therefore compromising their generalizability. In this paper, we propose CONCAT, a training-free multi-agent collaboration framework based on CONsensus and Confidence-driven Ad hoc Teaming to efficiently organize agent interactions. Specifically, agents are clustered based on their initial answers, and leaders of each cluster are selected based on the agents' confidence. Then, a heuristic function based on the Theory of Mind is designed to predict the collaboration benefits between every two leaders according to their answers and confidence. Finally, an ad hoc multi-agent network is organized after evicting a percentage of communications based on the predicted benefits. Experiments across three LLMs and three benchmarks show that CONCAT achieves up to 2.02x higher efficiency (accuracy/latency ratio) than LLM-Debate and outperforms training-aware methods such as AgentDropout, while reducing average latency by 50.1% on Qwen2.5-14B-Instruct, without any task-specific training.

cs.MA↗
arXiv2026

Bayesian Belief Layer for Controllable Opinion Dynamics in LLM Agents

LLM agents in social simulation revise their opinions implicitly, in context: how open an agent is to persuasion can neither be specified nor verified, and collective outcomes inherit the model's training prior. We introduce Bayesian Chronicle Agents (BCA), a minimal belief layer separating what an agent believes from how it speaks. Each stance is a probability, updated by one Bayesian step per utterance heard. A single prior-strength parameter $κ$ encodes stubbornness, modeled after its role in Friedkin--Johnsen (FJ) opinion dynamics. We then sweep this parameter to yield three canonical regimes of opinion dynamics on demand (consensus, persistent disagreement, committed-minority influence), with persistent disagreement matching the FJ closed-form fixed points at $R^2\!=\!0.93$--$0.99$. We further show that prescribed $κ$ remains recoverable after the language round-trip, with perfect rank-order recovery across all four models. Explicit belief also makes simulation auditable: the layer surfaces systematic per-model stance biases that end-to-end simulation would silently absorb.

cs.MA↗
arXiv2026

When Does Execution Provenance Help Agent Memory Retrieval?

A language agent's execution history can exceed its context window, requiring its memory system to retrieve complete supporting evidence under a hard token budget. Evidence may span multiple execution events, yet conventional retrievers use fixed token windows and fixed-k metrics that reward individual fragments without showing whether the complete evidence set fits in context. Smaller windows reduce irrelevant text but scatter evidence across candidates, while flat-versus-graph comparisons can conflate candidate design with graph propagation. To address these limitations, we formulate agent-memory retrieval as budgeted evidence completion and score exact gold spans in shared source coordinates. We first construct source-aligned provenance units from tool arguments and outputs. We then apply a zero-initialized residual R-GCN to refine frozen dense-retrieval scores over typed provenance edges. We evaluate 2,000 span-grounded memory queries over 1,207 held-out execution-grounded ISETrace trajectories. With matched Dense-FT scoring, provenance units improve Full Support@2048 by 19.07 points over flat 512-token windows and remain 11.96 points above a per-metric oracle over four flat chunk sizes; the pattern also holds with cross-encoder scoring. Holding the candidates and seed scores fixed, graph propagation adds 4.55 points in Full Support@2048 (95% CI [2.98, 6.18]). This gain is concentrated when gold evidence spans multiple events; entity co-occurrence expansion produces no comparable benefit, and relation and topology controls confirm dependence on typed transformations and observed graph structure. Overall, source-aligned candidates address the dominant granularity trade-off, while graph-conditioned propagation adds a smaller, targeted benefit for distributed evidence.

cs.MA↗