arXiv subjects

Selina Kurer

Publications and source records attributed to Selina Kurer.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

AI-based matching improves refugee employment in a double-blind randomized trial

Refugee integration is a central policy challenge for host countries, and where governments initially place refugees shapes their integration trajectories. Yet placement officers often have limited information about where each case is most likely to succeed. Algorithmic refugee matching uses administrative data, machine learning, and constrained optimization to recommend employment-optimized placements in real time as cases arrive, with human placement officers retaining final authority. Between January 2020 and June 2023, the Swiss State Secretariat for Migration randomly assigned about 2,000 refugee cases to receive a canton recommendation either algorithmically optimized for employment or drawn to approximate existing procedures, with placement officers and refugees blinded to assignment. The two arms used identical but separate canton and origin-group quotas, so gains reflect better refugee-canton matching rather than reallocation toward stronger labor markets. The trial began just before the COVID-19 pandemic shifted labor-market conditions. For the pre-registered primary outcome -- the share of months employed during the first three years -- the pooled intention-to-treat (ITT) estimate across the 2020-2023 placement cohorts was +2.2 percentage points (about 10% of the 22.3% control mean; 95% CI [+0.05, +4.33]), rising to +3.9 pp (about 17%; [+1.11, +6.68]) for the post-COVID 2022-2023 cohorts. Effects grew over time: at 36 months, the pooled ITT on the employment rate was +5.2 pp (about 11%; 95% CI [+1.10, +9.25]) -- comparable to the gains from hundreds of hours of intensive language training. Overall, the results provide rare field evidence that AI-based decision support can improve high-stakes public-sector allocation, offering a scalable, low-cost way to raise refugee employment.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2024

Optimal multi-action treatment allocation: A two-phase field experiment to boost immigrant naturalization

Research underscores the role of naturalization in enhancing immigrants' socio-economic integration, yet application rates remain low. We estimate a policy rule for a letter-based information campaign encouraging newly eligible immigrants in Zurich, Switzerland, to naturalize. The policy rule assigns one out of three treatment letters to each individual, based on their observed characteristics. We field the policy rule to one-half of 1,717 immigrants, while sending random treatment letters to the other half. Despite only moderate treatment effect heterogeneity, the policy tree yields a larger, albeit insignificant, increase in application rates compared to assigning the same letter to everyone.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2023

Human-in-the-Loop Hate Speech Classification in a Multilingual Context

The shift of public debate to the digital sphere has been accompanied by a rise in online hate speech. While many promising approaches for hate speech classification have been proposed, studies often focus only on a single language, usually English, and do not address three key concerns: post-deployment performance, classifier maintenance and infrastructural limitations. In this paper, we introduce a new human-in-the-loop BERT-based hate speech classification pipeline and trace its development from initial data collection and annotation all the way to post-deployment. Our classifier, trained using data from our original corpus of over 422k examples, is specifically developed for the inherently multilingual setting of Switzerland and outperforms with its F1 score of 80.5 the currently best-performing BERT-based multilingual classifier by 5.8 F1 points in German and 3.6 F1 points in French. Our systematic evaluations over a 12-month period further highlight the vital importance of continuous, human-in-the-loop classifier maintenance to ensure robust hate speech classification post-deployment.

cs.CL↗