arXiv subjects

Ye Li

Publications and source records attributed to Ye Li.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

GE-Act 2.0: Pretraining and Scaling a World-Action Model for Robotic Manipulation

World-action models (WAM) predict future states to guide robot actions, enabling learning from both action-free video and action-labeled interaction. Most inherit pretrained video generators, leaving WAM pretraining and scaling underexplored. We introduce Genie Envisioner Act 2.0 (GE-Act 2.0), a world-action model whose trainable generative and action components are all initialized from scratch on manipulation data. It combines a control-oriented autoencoder (CoAE), a single-step visual planner (SVP), and an inverse dynamics model (IDM). CoAE retains action- and instruction-relevant information under aggressive compression, while SVP produces a complete future state in one differentiable pass, so visual planning and inverse dynamics can be pretrained separately on complementary data. The components are then jointly trained with knowledge-aligned selective optimization (KASO), which reduces mismatched supervision by selecting only predicted futures judged behaviorally compatible with the recorded action. We evaluate pretrained checkpoints directly, without per-task fine-tuning, on 100 tasks across 20 manipulation skill groups with held-out scenes, backgrounds, lighting, and object instances. Scaling co-training data from 300 to 30,000 hours raises success from 17.1% to 44.1% on G1-OP and from 13.4% to 31.1% on G2-90D; despite comprising less than 2% of the co-training data, G2-90D improves by 17.7 points, suggesting cross-embodiment transfer. Gains span 19/20 and 18/20 skill groups, and skill-specific coverage strongly correlates with zero-shot out-of-distribution (OOD) success (Pearson r=0.80; Spearman rho=0.85). Under the same protocol, the model grounds object, color, shape, and position references in at least 90% of trials and follows explicit instructions even when they conflict with an already-committed behavior or a conventional scene association.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2026

Machine Learning and ARIMA Model Averaging for Adaptive Public Health Forecasting: Comparative Evaluation and an Ontario COVID-19 Case Study

Public health forecasts must respond to abrupt changes in surveillance data without over-extrapolating noise, reporting artifacts, or temporary trends. We evaluated autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), random forest, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) models using 190 weekly observations of publicly available Ontario COVID-19 case counts from January 2020 to October 2023. Rolling-origin time-series cross-validation preserved temporal order during model tuning and evaluation. Performance was assessed across three operating dimensions: responsiveness following selected turning points, forecast horizons of one to six weeks, and the amount of historical training data. We also developed Machine Learning and ARIMA Model Averaging (MLAMA), a non-negative performance-weighted ensemble with weights that vary by forecast horizon and responsiveness setting. Retrospective comparisons showed that ARIMA adapted rapidly after turning points but its normalized error increased at longer horizons. Random forest and XGBoost were less responsive initially but maintained more stable normalized error over longer horizons. For two-week forecasts at the end of the study period, training on the most recent data outperformed using longer historical periods, particularly for XGBoost. MLAMA achieved the lowest normalized mean absolute percentage error across most forecast horizons and ranked among the best-performing methods across responsiveness settings. These findings support selecting forecasting models according to operating conditions rather than relying on a single universally preferred approach. MLAMA provides a practical framework for combining complementary statistical and machine-learning forecasts. The accompanying Python package is currently maintained in a private repository while software validation and reproducibility testing are completed.

cs.LG↗