Enterprise value, economic and policy uncertainties: the case of US air carriers

Bahram Adrangi; Arjun Chatrath; Madhuparna Kolay; Kambiz Raffiee

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arXiv · 2506.07766

Enterprise value, economic and policy uncertainties: the case of US air carriers

Bahram Adrangi·Arjun Chatrath·Madhuparna Kolay·Kambiz Raffiee

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Abstract

The enterprise value (EV) is a crucial metric in company valuation as it encompasses not only equity but also assets and liabilities, offering a comprehensive measure of total value, especially for companies with diverse capital structures. The relationship between economic uncertainty and firm value is rooted in economic theory, with early studies dating back to Sandmo's work in 1971 and further elaborated upon by John Kenneth Galbraith in 1977. Subsequent significant events have underscored the pivotal role of uncertainty in the financial and economic realm. Using a VAR-MIDAS methodology, analysis of accumulated impulse responses reveals that the EV of air carrier firms responds heterogeneously to financial and economic uncertainties, suggesting unique coping strategies. Most firms exhibit negative reactions to recessionary risks and economic policy uncertainties. Financial shocks also elicit varied responses, with positive impacts observed on EV in response to increases in the current ratio and operating income after depreciation. However, high debt levels are unfavorably received by the market, leading to negative EV responses to debt-to-asset ratio shocks. Other financial shocks show mixed or indeterminate impacts on EV.

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Bahram Adrangi, Arjun Chatrath, Madhuparna Kolay, Kambiz Raffiee. 2025-06-09. Enterprise value, economic and policy uncertainties: the case of US air carriers. https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.07766

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