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Aspiration-based Perturbed Learning Automata in Games with Noisy Utility Measurements. Part A: Stochastic Stability in Non-zero-Sum Games

Reinforcement-based learning has attracted considerable attention both in modeling human behavior as well as in engineering, for designing measurement- or payoff-based optimization schemes. Such learning schemes exhibit several advantages, especially in relation to filtering out noisy observations. However, they may exhibit several limitations when applied in a distributed setup. In multi-player weakly-acyclic games, and when each player applies an independent copy of the learning dynamics, convergence to (usually desirable) pure Nash equilibria cannot be guaranteed. Prior work has only focused on a small class of games, namely potential and coordination games. To address this main limitation, this paper introduces a novel payoff-based learning scheme for distributed optimization, namely aspiration-based perturbed learning automata (APLA). In this class of dynamics, and contrary to standard reinforcement-based learning schemes, each player's probability distribution for selecting actions is reinforced both by repeated selection and an aspiration factor that captures the player's satisfaction level. We provide a stochastic stability analysis of APLA in multi-player positive-utility games under the presence of noisy observations. This is the first part of the paper that characterizes stochastic stability in generic non-zero-sum games by establishing equivalence of the induced infinite-dimensional Markov chain with a finite dimensional one. In the second part, stochastic stability is further specialized to weakly acyclic games.

cs.LG

MITRE-SAGE: A Multi-Agent Cybersecurity Question-Answering Model

Effective cybersecurity operations require timely and accurate analysis of large-scale heterogeneous security information; however, analysts increasingly struggle with information overload, alert fatigue, and time-constrained decision-making. Although large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated promising capabilities for question answering (QA), their effectiveness in cybersecurity remains limited by insufficient domain knowledge, a tendency to hallucinate, and difficulties in capturing both semantic and structural relationships. This work proposes MITRE-SAGE, a multi-agent retrieval-augmented generation framework that integrates semantic and structural cybersecurity knowledge to improve the reliability and interpretability of LLM-based QA systems. By decomposing complex tasks into query interpretation, evidence retrieval, and answer synthesis, MITRE-SAGE effectively supports cybersecurity tasks such as vulnerability assessment, threat profiling, and relationship extraction. Furthermore, we propose MITRE-QA, a comprehensive benchmark comprising 3,000 question-answer pairs for evaluating LLMs across diverse cybersecurity knowledge tasks, and use it to systematically evaluate MITRE-SAGE against representative baseline methods. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MITRE-SAGE consistently outperforms standalone LLMs and conventional RAG approaches. Notably, a lightweight configuration comprising Qwen2.5-7B sub-agents and a Qwen2.5-14B orchestrator achieves superior performance on five of the eight benchmark tasks, indicating the effectiveness of the proposed multi-agent framework. The results highlight the potential of MITRE-SAGE as a scalable and interpretable approach for reliable cybersecurity QA, while MITRE-QA provides a standardized benchmark for future research.

cs.IR

The Axiom of Consent: Authorization, Friction, and Multi-Agent Coordination

Coordination research collapses four objects: operative control, authorization, a model-derived friction score, and observed outcomes. The Axiom of Consent is a stake-weighted unanimity principle; majority and supermajority thresholds are explicit relaxations, not versions of the axiom. Decision loci are structural facts, whereas authorization and legitimacy require normative and measurement premises. Alignment, calibrated stakes, and information deficit are candidate coordinates, and F = sigma(1 + epsilon)/(1 + alpha) is a phenomenological ansatz. The Replicator-Optimization Mechanism supplies a conditional persistence interface: irreducibility suffices for its finite, static, positive-fitness continuous-time Perron result; primitivity is required only for the corresponding discrete-time power convergence, and the componentwise ranking is narrower. Neither persistence result derives authorization. A resource-allocation instantiation specifies an identification contract but observes no authorization acts or effective voice. Its exploratory MARL companion uses target-vector correlation and observation noise as narrow proxy treatments, not measures of general alignment or information deficit. Under that proxy and reward-gap design, the composite loses to an independent-effects model and a feasible-centred frozen crossing yields the opposite interaction direction. Cooperative target correlation lowers the gap under shared-state contention; separable IQL is structurally invariant and separable VDN is a non-detection. Paired partial sharing modulates the gradient without establishing an exact dose law or endpoint equivalence. Target support changes opposition and residual-policy conclusions. The surviving contribution is an authorization architecture and measurement discipline, not a universal friction law.

cs.MA

Sustained Heterogeneity: an emergent collective mechanism in LLM-driven traffic

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly adopted as closed-loop controllers in physical multi-agent systems, yet their emergent collective dynamics remain incompletely characterised. We deploy 22 LLM agents as direct, real-time target-speed controllers (per 0.5 s cycle, with IDM as collision-avoidance clamp) on a 230 m ring road under the Sugiyama 2008 paradigm, reproducing human-like stop-and-go waves. Six matched controls spanning stochasticity (white noise, OU noise, temperature), population variance, and dynamical instability (delay, OV model) are systematically excluded. The surviving phenomenon, termed Sustained Heterogeneity (SH), is the persistent, approximately temperature-insensitive (approx. 8 percent across a 6x T sweep), per-cycle divergence in LLM-chosen target-speed adjustments, propagating through a three-stage cascade of drift, gap erosion, and nonlinear braking. Across four traffic densities, the critical LLM penetration fraction p_c decreases monotonically from no transition at density 43.5 veh/km to p_c approx 0.23 at density 95.7 veh/km, consistent with an initiation-threshold model governed by trigger distance, stochasticity, and fleet size. Chain-of-thought analysis of 39,600 decisions across three seeds shows agents engage in multi-factor safety reasoning, yet systematic divergence persists, implying stability must be enforced at the dynamics layer. This is the first study to identify a previously uncharacterised collective mechanism in LLM-controlled traffic and map a density-dependent phase boundary p_c(rho).

physics.soc-ph

Efficient SWE Agent Benchmarking via Trajectory-Aware Evaluation

Evaluating software engineering agents on realistic benchmarks is costly, since each task may require multi-step code exploration, modification, and test execution. Existing efficient evaluation methods select representative subsets to estimate full-benchmark performance, but are largely result-only: they fit historical pass/fail response matrices or static task semantics, discarding how agents solve problems. We propose PTA-IRT, a Privileged Trajectory-Aware Item Response Theory framework that fuses process and outcome signals. Historical execution trajectories supply process-level evidence beyond pass/fail, such as explored context, attempted edits, and solving paths, which PTA-IRT uses as privileged information for calibration subset selection and ability estimation. Under low calibration budgets, PTA-IRT consistently outperforms prior IRT baselines on score and ranking recovery across four SWE benchmarks. Code and data are publicly available at https://github.com/DeepSoftwareAnalytics/PTA-IRT.

cs.SE

Auditing Multi-Agent LLM Reasoning Trees Outperforms Majority Vote and LLM-as-Judge

Multi-agent systems (MAS) can substantially extend the reasoning capacity of large language models (LLMs). Most MAS frameworks aggregate agent outputs via simple majority voting, discarding the evidential structure of reasoning traces. Majority voting is brittle under confabulation consensus, where agents share correlated biases and converge on the same incorrect rationale. We introduce AgentAuditor, which moves beyond frequency-based aggregation by organizing agent traces into a Reasoning Tree that explicitly represents agreements and divergences in their reasoning. AgentAuditor resolves conflicts by comparing branch-level evidence at critical divergence points, turning global adjudication into efficient, localized verification. We further propose Anti-Consensus Preference Optimization (ACPO), which trains the adjudicator with evidence-verified preference supervision to reduce conformity to misleading majority cues. Across four MAS frameworks and multiple reasoning benchmarks, AgentAuditor consistently improves aggregation performance over majority voting, with gains of up to 5% absolute accuracy while remaining token-efficient.

cs.AI

GlossoGen: Emergent Language in Complex Multi-Agent LLM Interactions

The growing rate at which LLM agents interact with one another raises key questions about language evolution in multi-LLM-agent settings, with implications for safety and monitorability as well as for linguistic accounts of LLMs. To address these questions, we introduce GlossoGen, a novel platform for studying multi-agent language evolution in complex scenarios. Within GlossoGen, we build the SaveVeyru scenario, which requires agents with partial information to communicate under pressure. We find that language evolution does occur between LLM agents, that the resulting languages are compositional and morphologically productive, and that they deviate from the LLMs' English prior in ways that render them incomprehensible to humans. Moreover, we identify several qualities essential to this evolution: pressure towards efficiency; the strength of the models backing the agents; and access to a "postmortem" stage in which agents can agree on linguistic conventions. Importantly, we observe that different conditions govern the transmission of language to new agents. Specifically, we find that agents learn new languages from usage alone, take an active role in this learning, and that while stronger models are required for novel language emergence, weaker models can learn an existing language once it has emerged. Taken together, our results indicate that current LLMs have the potential for cumulative cultural evolution -- previously attested only in humans -- with mixed populations of agents developing capacities that go beyond their lowest common denominator.

cs.CL

AnalysisBank: An Expert Analysis Pattern Library for Financial Report Generation

We argue that financial report generation should operate at the analytical rather than structural level, composing content from data-derived insights rather than high-level topics or sections. To this end, we propose AnalysisBank, which distills expert reports into a reusable library of Analyses, each pairing a data signal, an analytical move, and the expert span it was derived from. At inference time, AnalysisBank matches input signals to library entries and applies the retrieved moves to compose the report. A study of Analyses distilled from 550 expert reports reveals a heavy-tailed distribution of 47-52 signal types spanning 13 move types. On two financial benchmarks across four LLM backbones, AnalysisBank increases the proportion of novel, data-grounded insights by 1.7-3.7x over structural-level baselines. Transfer to scientific writing suggests that the distinction generalizes beyond finance. Code and the distilled Analysis library are available at https://github.com/yajingyang/AnalysisBank.

cs.AI

EMemBench: Interactive Benchmarking of Episodic Memory for VLM Agents

We introduce EMemBench, a programmatic benchmark generator for evaluating long-term episodic memory of agents through interactive games. Rather than using a fixed set of questions, EMemBench generates questions from environment-grounded trajectories, covering both text-only and visual game environments. Each template computes verifiable ground truth from underlying game signals, with controlled answerability and balanced coverage over memory skills: single/multi-hop recall, induction, temporal, spatial, logical, and adversarial. We evaluate memory agents with strong LMs/VLMs as backbones, using in-context prompting as baselines. Across 15 text games and multiple visual seeds, results are far from saturated: induction and spatial reasoning are persistent bottlenecks, especially in visual settings. Persistent memory yields clear gains for open backbones on text games, but improvements are less consistent for VLM agents, suggesting that visually grounded episodic memory remains an open challenge. A human study further contextualizes the difficulty and interpretability of EMemBench.

cs.CL

Abstraction Agent

Information abstraction, which groups strategically similar private states into a tractable number of buckets, is essential for scaling game-solving algorithms to large imperfect-information games. Constructing effective abstractions, however, has traditionally required domain-specific evaluators such as hand-strength calculators or equity estimators, which demand expert knowledge and engineering effort and are unavailable for most less-studied games. We propose the Abstraction Agent, a zero-shot pipeline that uses a large language model (LLM) to discover continuous strategic features from a natural-language game description, score private states on these features, and cluster them into abstraction buckets, without any game-specific evaluator, training data, or game-tree traversal during abstraction construction. The pipeline runs in four phases: feature discovery with calibration anchors, batched private-state scoring, correlation-based feature selection, and $k$-means clustering. The resulting abstractions reduce lifted-strategy exploitability by up to 62% relative to an expected-hand-strength baseline on heads-up no-limit Texas hold'em (HUNL) turn endgames, and beat a scalar rank baseline at every granularity on ROVER Trials, an original game absent from any pretraining corpus. Beyond these quantitative benchmarks, the pipeline transfers with unchanged prompts to four-card Pot-Limit Omaha, HUNL preflop and flop, and Riichi Mahjong, where the discovered features track each game's recognized strategic concepts. This is structured knowledge elicitation: converting implicit strategic knowledge in LLM parameters into explicit numerical features for downstream algorithmic computation. The code is available at https://github.com/lbn187/AbstractionAgent.

cs.MA

Inferred Generative-Process Diversity Predicts Correlated Failure Across Language Models

Diversity is a widely observed factor in the resilient function of collective systems, yet the type of diversity that matters depends on the properties and failure modes of the system. This distinction is important for systems composed of multiple language models. Different models may be treated as independent components even when their behaviour and failures remain strongly correlated. Assessments of language-model populations using semantic similarity demonstrate limited semantic diversity, but this captures only differences in the meaning of observed outputs. We argue that a more fundamental notion of model diversity is generative-process diversity, the differences between processes capable of generating the observed outputs. Drawing from Algorithmic Information Theory, we use Normalised Compression Distance between raw model outputs, residualised against a permutation control, as a measure of inferred generative-process diversity. Across 38 language models, this measure identifies population structure missed by semantic similarity and predicts cross-task variation in chance-corrected correlated failure among model pairs across ten disjoint benchmark families, beyond semantic similarity and model-pair capability. The cross-benchmark partial rank association is $-0.216$ with a 95% interval of $[-0.309,-0.122]$, and the estimate is negative on all ten benchmarks. These results indicate that increased generative-process diversity is associated with reduced correlated failure in model pairs that is not attributable to semantic similarity or capability. Inferred generative-process diversity offers a novel and practical approach for investigating diversity of multi-model systems in safety-relevant contexts.

cs.LG

Harness-RL: Black-Box Reinforcement Learning with Action-Args Decoupling for Central-Agent Multi-Agent Harnesses

Large language model agents increasingly solve long-horizon tasks through multi-agent harnesses in which a central agent coordinates specialized sub-agents, tools, and environments. Training the central policy in such a harness raises two challenges. First, an action label is a low-cardinality decision, whereas its args form a high-dimensional conditional sequence; optimizing both with a shared sequence-level signal can produce conflicting gradients. Second, dynamic scheduling creates interdependent sessions with branches, parallel calls, and rewritten contexts, which cannot be faithfully reduced to one flat token sequence. We introduce Harness-RL, a structured reinforcement learning framework that combines Conflict-Aware Policy Optimization (CAPO) with interface-level black-box trajectory construction. The black-box component captures Interface Call Records, builds per-session prefix trees, and aligns outcome and process rewards with trainable tokens. CAPO uses forward activations to identify parameter partitions associated with action and args tokens, then routes their policy gradients to the corresponding subspaces. Harness-RL supports both central-only and joint multi-agent training. Across seven multi-hop question answering and agentic retrieval benchmarks, it reaches average F1 scores of 42.93 and 47.79 with Qwen2.5-1.5B and Qwen2.5-3B, respectively, while ablations validate the contribution of CAPO and favor central-only optimization in the evaluated setting. Our code is available at https://github.com/jiangxinke/Harness-RL.

cs.MA

ClaimReceipt: Verifying Evidence Sufficiency and Coverage in Agent Evaluations

Agent evaluations face two distinct evidentiary questions: whether a reported claim is recomputable from retained evidence (sufficiency), and whether the retained records cover the committed experiment set (coverage). Generic logs and hash-linked transcripts answer neither reliably. We introduce ClaimReceipt, a claim-relative receipt specification and selective verifier that binds typed transaction evidence to a signed experiment manifest and returns PASS, INVALID, or INCONCLUSIVE per claim. We freeze the specification before implementation (SHA-256 18d109...b81). On 1,392 historical buyer--seller records, a CR-2 verifier reproduces all five manually labeled audit verdicts, exactly replays 600 deterministic and 792 post-generation records, makes every one of 13 declared field groups non-redundant under tested ablations, and returns the expected result on 11/11 semantic faults with 0/8 false positives. We then run a separate prospective CR-3 epoch: 30 assignments are committed before inference, terminal receipts are signed and chained, and private evidence is encrypted for an auditor. Complete evidence yields coverage and accounting PASS; withholding one terminal receipt returns INCONCLUSIVE_COVERAGE, while withholding all private openings preserves coverage and protocol verification but makes economic claims inconclusive, exactly matching a preregistered prediction. Receipt instrumentation adds 0.021% of model-inference time and 9.9 KB per transaction. A specification-legibility probe indicates that our own frozen specification is not yet unambiguous to an independent reader. Claim verification therefore requires both claim-sufficient evidence and a committed universe against which omissions become visible.

cs.AI

Measuring Collective Semantic Change in Populations of Language Model Agents

Collective semantic change in populations of language model agents is a measurable dynamical phenomenon. We present a passive longitudinal instrument called Kopterix that observes the semantic state of an agent population as a sequence of bounded observations under a protocol defined before the observations begin. Each observation divides the sampled feed by post age into surface, mid-stream, and residue layers, which makes semantic differences across content age measurable alongside run-to-run change. We validate the instrument on Moltbook, an agent-native social platform, over a two-month window of scheduled observations, with the periodicity check extended across approximately four months. At the lexical level, rarefied entropy resolves an April-May difference in the evenness of the stored top 200 unigram distributions, and adjacent states are lexically closer than states paired after timestamp shuffling. At the geometric level, grand mean centering exposes the scale of a common embedding direction, and scheduled shuffle checks support a recurring excess in the mid-stream to residue separation relative to the shuffled reference. At the temporal level, detrended scalar quantities and centered layer centroids lose much of their similarity over several hours, and a weaker positive component declines across longer separations with no strong weekly recurrence. Several attractive apparent structures failed their controls, and each reading is limited to the level its controls support. The design applies wherever a population of agents produces a timestamped language environment that can be observed repeatedly and divided by content age.

physics.soc-ph

Speculative Macro Commit for Faster Tool-Using Agents

Tool-using LLM agents spend wall-clock time not only on model inference but also in serial action--observation turns, where each tool call, environment transition, and observation can delay subsequent decisions. We introduce \textbf{Speculative Macro Commit} (SMC), a runtime mechanism for a two-tier agent system: a large authoritative actor model produces the official trajectory, while a faster speculative drafter model continuously predicts and executes future action chains on an isolated environment snapshot. SMC mines recurring multi-action skeletons from training traces and stores them in a macro library used to match against action chains predicted by the drafter at runtime. When the actor's next tool call matches the first drafted action, SMC commits the remaining pre-executed draft steps, together with their observations, to the official trajectory. Using Qwen3.5-27B INT4 as the authoritative actor model and Qwen3.5-4B as the speculative drafter model, SMC matches the sequential agent's overall accuracy while reducing latency by 10.23\% over the Speculative Actions (SA) baseline and 18.59\% over sequential execution on the $τ^2$-Bench Telecom subset. On AppWorld, SMC reduces wall time by 7.7\% over SA baseline and 44.9\% over sequential execution, with a small reduction in task completion. Overall, SMC provides a practical way to reuse multi-step speculative execution and reduce agent latency beyond single-step speculative actions. Our code is publicly available \href{https://github.com/zeyuliu1037/speculative-macro-commit}{\textcolor{magenta}{here}}.

cs.AI

Any-Order GPT as Masked Diffusion Model: Decoupling Formulation and Architecture

Efficiently scaling Large Language Models (LLMs) necessitates exploring alternatives to dominant autoregressive (AR) methods, with Masked Diffusion Models (MDMs) emerging as candidates. However, comparing AR (typically decoder-only) and MDM (often encoder-only) paradigms is confounded by differing architectures, obscuring true algorithmic and efficiency trade-offs. This research decouples these factors by evaluating MDMs within a decoder-only framework to: (1) Equitably compare MDM (as Any-Order AR) and standard AR paradigms through discrepancies on orders. (2) Investigate MDM architectural impacts on computational efficiency. We show decoder-only MDMs, despite a larger modeling space, can achieve significant inference speedups ($\sim25\times$) and comparable perplexity with techniques like temperature annealing, offering a path to reduced inference compute. This work provides insights for developing more computationally efficient foundation models by disentangling core modeling choices from architectural influences. Code is available at https://github.com/scxue/AO-GPT-MDM.

cs.LG

ArcticSwarm: Deferring Early Consensus in Long-Horizon Multi-Agent Research

Multi-agent systems have shown strong performance in domains with reliable verifiers such as coding, where multi-parallel candidate generation selected by a verifier is effective. However, such pipelines would not generalize to open-ended, long-horizon research tasks without a verifier. While majority voting or self-consistency is often used to reach consensus as a proxy verifier, parallel agents repeatedly explore the same evidence, while access to peers' partial findings cause search to converge on an early candidate before alternatives are tested. We present ArcticSwarm, a multi-agent research architecture that separates evidence gathering from evidence integration. Subagents publish findings to a shared bulletin board, while gated isolation lets selected search tasks maintain their own prior, preventing early consensus. Structured review at three commitment boundaries enforce only confident candidates to be propagated. As a result, ArcticSwarm reaches 82.6% on the full BrowseComp-Plus set with the open-weight Qwen 3.5-27B model, compared with 78.8% without gated isolation and 74.5% additionally with structured review disabled, outperforming aligned baseline MiroFlow runs (70.6%). Extending to live-web BrowseComp, ArcticSwarm reaches 73.6% with GPT-5, which is well above the reported provider system (54.9%) and MiroFlow (63.4%). Overall, the results show that restricting peer reads during evidence gathering and strengthening commitment boundaries before a hypothesis is shared can broaden search and improve long-horizon multi-agent deep research.

cs.MA

China's Shrinking Home Bias and Rising Disruptive Impact: Evidence from a Global Citation Network Analysis

China has become the world's largest producer of scientific publications, yet concerns persist that this growth is inflated by excessive domestic citation practices. In this study, we analyze a citation network of over 45 million publications from Web of Science (1980-2025) to investigate China's home citation bias and research impact. Using a network reshuffling null model to control for the structural effect of publication volume, we find that China's home citation bias is less pronounced than commonly assumed and has been steadily declining over the past two decades. Chinese researchers do not exhibit a significantly stronger home citation preference than other major countries, indicating increasing internationalization rather than insularity. Furthermore, using the persistent disruption framework, we show that Chinese papers are converging toward American papers in their capacity to produce paradigm-shifting work. These findings challenge prevailing narratives about Chinese scientific home bias and suggest that China's advances in research impact.

physics.soc-ph